GOM System (Ex 95L)

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SouthFloridawx
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#141 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:48 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST
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#142 Postby Stormavoider » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:48 pm

Absolutely!!
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#143 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:48 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I heard on the local news that the high should move northeast for a few days starting Friday and allow some moisure to work into the Houston area. Wouldn't this also leave a window for this system to come through with some heavier rains?



I heard this also. The NWS had foreasted increasing pops for Friday and Saturday before the blob. Makes me believe the cap will be weaker. The High has got to go somewhere.....
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#144 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:49 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST


Look at the pic. :)
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#145 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:49 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST


It was only there for a couple minutes.

My guess is they are debating on this one (and haven't reached a decision) and accidentally put that down publicly.
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#146 Postby rockyman » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:50 pm

63L is still on the right side of the screen...just not on the menu on the left
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#147 Postby sevenleft » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:51 pm

rockyman wrote:63L is still on the right side of the screen...just not on the menu on the left
Yep.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html
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#148 Postby rockyman » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:52 pm

Maybe NRL has a "pre-investigation" phase that we don't know about?
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#149 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:52 pm

My guess (pure speculation) is that the NRL is trying to decide whether to declare it an Invest (the NHC has mentioned it) and has not made a decision, but the internal "sandbox" declaration accidentally made it onto the Internet. Perhaps they use 60L-69L or 60L-79L or something for internal decisions, like when we make a call on a blob and start a thread on an unnumbered blob?
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#150 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:54 pm

cycloneye wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST


Look at the pic. :)


I still don't see it, looking at the whole screen.
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#151 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:55 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Invest 63L is something I'v not seen. Also this is a MLC/MCC. I'v seen system form this way but the chances are low for this.



True Matt, this came off yesterday out of MS/AL. In fact I watched this happen over the last few days. The last one fizzled but before it did looked to have a mid level swirl to it. This one however is holding it own right now. Alicia made it to the surface in a similar fashion.....low shear+ WE+ persistant convection+ no movement= soon to be depression, IMO.


though I could be wrong.....had to leave me a way out.... :lol:
Last edited by ROCK on Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#152 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:55 pm

NHC determines the invests

and this definately should not be an invest. it is a collapsing thunderstorm complex
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#153 Postby HardCard » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:00 pm

oh my god....people are -removed- a blob. :eek:
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#154 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:02 pm

HardCard wrote:oh my god....people are -removed- a blob. :eek:


Times are tough this Hurricane season, you take what you can get and enjoy it. :lol:
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#155 Postby HardCard » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:04 pm

no doubt man..
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#156 Postby miamicanes177 » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:04 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:NHC determines the invests

and this definately should not be an invest. it is a collapsing thunderstorm complex
This is mid August and everything has to be taken seriously by the NHC, especially in the GOM. They have a huge responsibility to the public and I'm sure any actions they take will be well thought out.
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#157 Postby ROCK » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:04 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
HardCard wrote:oh my god....people are -removed- a blob. :eek:


Times are tough this Hurricane season, you take what you can get and enjoy it. :lol:



exactly......there hasn't been this much Gomer traffic since Chris....may he RIP..... :lol:
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#158 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:05 pm

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Test 63L is gone.
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#159 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:05 pm

:blowup:
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#160 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:07 pm

Convection appears to be diminishing this evening without not much signs of regeneration. We'll probably see this down to a mid-level swirl late tonight with little convection left.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Tue Aug 15, 2006 7:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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