GOM System (Ex 95L)

[SouthFloridawx]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST

[Stormavoider]

Absolutely!!

[ROCK]

I heard on the local news that the high should move northeast for a few days starting Friday and allow some moisure to work into the Houston area. Wouldn't this also leave a window for this system to come through with some heavier rains?

I heard this also. The NWS had foreasted increasing pops for Friday and Saturday before the blob. Makes me believe the cap will be weaker. The High has got to go somewhere.....

[cycloneye]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST

Look at the pic.

[CrazyC83]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST

It was only there for a couple minutes.

My guess is they are debating on this one (and haven't reached a decision) and accidentally put that down publicly.

[rockyman]

63L is still on the right side of the screen...just not on the menu on the left

[sevenleft]

63L is still on the right side of the screen...just not on the menu on the left

Yep.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

[rockyman]

Maybe NRL has a "pre-investigation" phase that we don't know about?

[CrazyC83]

My guess (pure speculation) is that the NRL is trying to decide whether to declare it an Invest (the NHC has mentioned it) and has not made a decision, but the internal "sandbox" declaration accidentally made it onto the Internet. Perhaps they use 60L-69L or 60L-79L or something for internal decisions, like when we make a call on a blob and start a thread on an unnumbered blob?

[SouthFloridawx]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

It's not there anymore...

Atlantic

93L.INVEST

Look at the pic.

I still don't see it, looking at the whole screen.

[ROCK]

Invest 63L is something I'v not seen. Also this is a MLC/MCC. I'v seen system form this way but the chances are low for this.

True Matt, this came off yesterday out of MS/AL. In fact I watched this happen over the last few days. The last one fizzled but before it did looked to have a mid level swirl to it. This one however is holding it own right now. Alicia made it to the surface in a similar fashion.....low shear+ WE+ persistant convection+ no movement= soon to be depression, IMO.


though I could be wrong.....had to leave me a way out....

[Derek Ortt]

NHC determines the invests

and this definately should not be an invest. it is a collapsing thunderstorm complex

[HardCard]

oh my god....people are -removed- a blob.

[Stormcenter]

oh my god....people are -removed- a blob.

Times are tough this Hurricane season, you take what you can get and enjoy it.

[HardCard]

no doubt man..

[miamicanes177]

NHC determines the invests

and this definately should not be an invest. it is a collapsing thunderstorm complex

This is mid August and everything has to be taken seriously by the NHC, especially in the GOM. They have a huge responsibility to the public and I'm sure any actions they take will be well thought out.

[ROCK]

oh my god....people are -removed- a blob.

Times are tough this Hurricane season, you take what you can get and enjoy it.

exactly......there hasn't been this much Gomer traffic since Chris....may he RIP.....

[cycloneye]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Test 63L is gone.

[jasons2k]

[Thunder44]

Convection appears to be diminishing this evening without not much signs of regeneration. We'll probably see this down to a mid-level swirl late tonight with little convection left.