HollynLA wrote:Development could occur by Sunday with landfall as early as Wednesday. Preparations may have to be made about the time development occurs, or even before.
Who are you and what have you done with wxman57?
I have to tell you that reading those words from you really gives me chills.

Take a look at the IR and WV satellite. Note the significant moisture increase across northern Venezuela/Colombia and north of Panama. Note that the NAO is strongly negative. Trade winds across the Caribbean are down considerably from a week ago. All the ingredients are there. Am I confident about this development? No, not yet. Let's see how things progress tomorrow and Saturday.
I'm debating whether to say anything to my mother on the MS coast yet. Good news is that she just got a grant check for $26,000 to cover repairs to her home after Katrina. I don't want to bring any bad news until I'm more sure.