Question about hostile Atlantic

boca · #1 Postby **boca** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:11 pm

One of the few times I actually watched Jim Cantore due tropical update at 10:50pm and he showed a 7 day water vapor loop of the western Atlantic basin. He was saying as long as these enormous ULL keep on developing this will squash any development in the near term. Why is this occuring on August 17th. A month ago this would of been a stupid question. Will the ULL go away or is this never ending this year?

rainstorm · #2 Postby **rainstorm** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:31 pm

he did say it could change next week. it was incredible seeing so many upper lows and all that 60kt shear everywhere

boca · #3 Postby **boca** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:33 pm

I think I counted five ULL in the Atlantic wow.

ConvergenceZone · #4 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:38 pm

rainstorm wrote:he did say it could change next week. it was incredible seeing so many upper lows and all that 60kt shear everywhere

Not only it could, BUT IT WILL. Just like in Winter, you can't keep it from getting colder, eventually it's going to happen and it's way overdue......

#5 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:39 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
rainstorm wrote:he did say it could change next week. it was incredible seeing so many upper lows and all that 60kt shear everywhere

Not only it could, BUT IT WILL. Just like in Winter, you can't keep it from getting colder, eventually it's going to happen and it's way overdue......

Where is the 60kt shear?
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

Grease Monkey · #6 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:41 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Not only it could, BUT IT WILL. Just like in Winter, you can't keep it from getting colder, eventually it's going to happen and it's way overdue......

True, but sometimes only slightly colder. Maybe slightly less shear won't be enough in such a hostile enviroment to begin with?

ConvergenceZone · #7 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:47 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Not only it could, BUT IT WILL. Just like in Winter, you can't keep it from getting colder, eventually it's going to happen and it's way overdue......

True, but sometimes only slightly colder. Maybe slightly less shear won't be enough in such a hostile enviroment to begin with?

Well, originally I thought that as well , but then all of the Mets here pointed out numerous years when it was dead like it is now and boom, once the last week of August hit, the floodgates were opened, and from what most of them were saying, the conditions then were similar to what they are now, lots of ULL's and lots of shear, but all of the sudden both of those factors were turned off and the storms started rolling in...So I don't expect this year to be any different.

boca · #8 Postby **boca** » Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:50 pm

Definetly interesting if that pans out convergence zone.

Question about hostile Atlantic

Question about hostile Atlantic

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