MJO

hcane27 · #101 Postby **hcane27** » Sat Aug 19, 2006 7:52 am

Not really sure why the comment should be deleted. It is an opinion just as most of what is posted is. There is no statement made to the effect that the MJO has not been proven to have any effect, just that in the opinion of the poster, this current edition will have little impact on the Atlantic basin, as have the last several. Delete the post ??????? Why not burn books as well.

'CaneFreak · #102 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Sun Aug 20, 2006 9:28 am

looky looky...the subsidence is gone in the atlantic...could this be a sign of things to come? We'll see.....

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... thly.shtml

#103 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sun Aug 20, 2006 10:17 am

'CaneFreak wrote:looky looky...the subsidence is gone in the atlantic...could this be a sign of things to come? We'll see.....

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... thly.shtml

Looks like your 100% right.

#104 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Aug 20, 2006 1:04 pm

The wet phase of MJO is already in parts of the Atlantic.However the full wet phase is still in the Pacific.

#105 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Aug 20, 2006 1:11 pm

Luis thanks for the graphic would you say the wet phase of the MJO is a factor in the SW Caribbean blob that models are picking up on?

#106 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Aug 21, 2006 2:20 pm

The wet phase is spreading thru the Eastern Atlantic where TD #4 is and where the central Atlantic Wave is.

'CaneFreak · #107 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:21 am

Looking good, looking very good....

Sanibel · #108 Postby **Sanibel** » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:24 am

Wet phase should be the trigger. Watch the hostility subside now.

We've had a moist upper visible here at sunset, meaning the conditions are improving.

'CaneFreak · #109 Postby **'CaneFreak** » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:26 am

Yep....this usually does the trick...hopefully....

Todd Ferebee
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

#110 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Tue Aug 22, 2006 12:00 pm

The wet phase of the MJO and the increase in activity....Nope, don't think this is merely a coincidence either.

#111 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:36 pm

The wet pulse of MJO is strong now in the Atlantic.

willjnewton · #112 Postby **willjnewton** » Thu Aug 24, 2006 9:31 am

I will say that the wet phase in the atlantic as of the 23rd of august is very strong right now :roll:

#113 Postby **bvigal** » Fri Aug 25, 2006 4:17 pm

BUMP SO WILL CAN FIND

whereverwx · #114 Postby **whereverwx** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 4:23 pm

It looks like the dry phase is starting to enter the Atlantic.

It's also interesting that Ioke is in the dry phase, and yet so powerful.

wxmann_91 · #115 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sat Aug 26, 2006 8:54 pm

There has been a noticable lack of convection besides Ioke in the CPAC. So, yes, the dry MJO has had an effect. The entire CPAC is now very hostile due to a strong TUTT that has formed north of Hawaii.

I think the MJO may have to do more with the formation of storms rather than the intensification of storms.

Thatsmrhurricane · #116 Postby **Thatsmrhurricane** » Thu Sep 07, 2006 6:27 am

Anyone have anything to add, analysis wise, as to the MJO and our current state of activity? This was pretty far back, BTW.

#117 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Sep 07, 2006 6:58 am

According to a published article in SCIENCE, hurricane genesis is four times more likely in the WCarib and GOM when MJO winds are westerly.

Link: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/a ... /5460/2002

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