TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D

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miamicanes177
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#81 Postby miamicanes177 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:29 pm

cycloneye wrote:But not always the models are right on iniciating on intenstry,and I learned from past years when sometimes it occured.It's better wait for the very official word than letting spread information that may not be correct.
Well Derek Ortt is now calling this a tropical storm in his latest outlook.
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#82 Postby jhamps10 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:29 pm

All it needs is the offical advisory, I think that it is a tropical storm too.
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#83 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:30 pm

I dont want to violate the rule of storm2k about posting false information. :)
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#84 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:30 pm

i think it is too a TS.
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#85 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:30 pm

Me too. It looks like it on the SAL
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#86 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:32 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Theres no way its a td...In it gots data to back it up. How much more doe's it need?


no it's not a tropical wave. :lol:
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#87 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:33 pm

It may be a TS but I agree with Mods. We shouldn't change thread titles until the "official" word comes across thr wire from the NHC. When I hit the page earlier, I thought we officially had Debby and then went straight to the NHC site and my email looking for a special advisory....I was a bit confused there for a few minutes.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#88 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:34 pm

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT - Version 7.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 23 AUG 2006 Time : 004500 UTC
Lat : 15:00:28 N Lon : 28:26:05 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.1 / 998.8mb/ 47.0kt


6hr-Avg T# 3hr-Avg T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.0 3.1 2.7 2.7

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb

Center Temp : -23.4C Cloud Region Temp : -37.5C

Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.46 ARC in LT GRAY

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : ON
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
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#89 Postby WindRunner » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:35 pm

jschlitz wrote:It may be a TS but I agree with Mods. We shouldn't change thread titles until the "official" word comes across thr wire from the NHC. When I hit the page earlier, I thought we officially had Debby and then went straight to the NHC site and my email looking for a special advisory....I was a bit confused there for a few minutes.


Same thing here, so as I said, this is best to keep it to official and true information.
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#90 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:38 pm

T numbers continue to climb. I will go insane if NHC keeps this as a TD at 11.
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#91 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:38 pm

Why can't the title include these two FACTS:

• 00Z Models initialized TD4 as TS Debby
• Dvorak Sat *observation* numbers are 2.5 = 35 kts = TS Debby

:?: :idea:
Last edited by Windsurfer_NYC on Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#92 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:39 pm

Goodness can anyone wait just a little bit, it acts like if the thing aint called a TS now, the world will blow up.
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#93 Postby Senobia » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:40 pm

:lol:
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#94 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:41 pm

Wait until everybody sees that the models trended North and not West...;)
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#95 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:42 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Wait until everybody sees that the models trended North and not West...;)


Please dont say that then the world will blow up. :lol:
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#96 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:45 pm

I will not bring it on the board....But if this is not debby at 11pm I might jump up in down. In throw a few curse words.

But this doe's in fact look very good. That system in the eastern pacific looks a thousand times better.
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#97 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:49 pm

Everyone...I have something for you guys to view: http://www.careerbuilder.com/monk-e-mail/?mid=12899050
:lol: Its Almost Party Time!!!
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#98 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:51 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Everyone...I have something for you guys to view: http://www.careerbuilder.com/monk-e-mail/?mid=12899050
:lol: Its Almost Party Time!!!

:lol: :lol: :lol:
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#99 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:51 pm

:eek:
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#100 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:53 pm

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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