
TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D
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SouthFloridawx wrote:The models are fairly unanimous on a track out to sea.
well from the looks of those models i think it depends on perspective for you and me (south fl) most of those are headed away from us in fl , out to sea
but for will in nj i think at least three of those seem to project a pretty straightforward track without curvature in a general direction of the midatlantic. also the early model trends westard basically show the handle on this is uncertain and there is definitely a more than remote chance this could head toward the coast, IMO
either way it certainly seems it will be north of "the rats mouth" aka boca , FL
Last edited by cpdaman on Tue Aug 22, 2006 9:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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willjnewton wrote:if this system is still heading or continues westnorthwestward than why would it be fish???
It's not moving west-northwest/west. It's moving west-northwest to northwest - very close to northwest at 295-300 degrees. That heading would take it to New York City on a straight line. However, the high pressure north of the storm is shifting eastward over the Azores. This will allow for a gradual turn to the northwest to north-northwest over the next few days. There is very high agreement in all of the good dynamic models on this occurrence. The storm has been following this guidance and there is no data to support any threat to the Caribbean Sea or the east U.S. Coast.
Last edited by wxman57 on Tue Aug 22, 2006 9:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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If the NHC 'passed' on upgrading to a tropical storm, I would not be surprised. The center looks to be around 15.5 and 29. Very little convection in the northern half of this system. Just plenty of stable air. All of the convection is to the south, the center would probably be exposed if daytime visible was available. The infrared satellite appearance has diminished in the last hour.
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And that leaves 97L to try to become Ernesto.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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- lester
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AnnularCane wrote:Hi Debby! We've been waiting a long time for you! Thanks for finally putting an end to all those "season cancel" threads. Just make yourself comfortable and enjoy the ride. Oh, and watch out for that nasty dry air.
Yes, I'm talking to a tropical storm. So what?

I love Deborah lol
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