TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D

[willjnewton]

but do you all think there is a slight a very slight chance that this depression might effect the united states??

[Weatherfreak14]

but do you all think there is a slight a very slight chance that this depression might effect the united states??

A very slight chance. Thats all we can say as of now. wait till the weekend we will have a better Idea.

[cpdaman]

The models are fairly unanimous on a track out to sea.

well from the looks of those models i think it depends on perspective for you and me (south fl) most of those are headed away from us in fl , out to sea

but for will in nj i think at least three of those seem to project a pretty straightforward track without curvature in a general direction of the midatlantic. also the early model trends westard basically show the handle on this is uncertain and there is definitely a more than remote chance this could head toward the coast, IMO

either way it certainly seems it will be north of "the rats mouth" aka boca , FL

[willjnewton]

okay thankyou

[miamicanes177]

but do you all think there is a slight a very slight chance that this depression might effect the united states??

I would give this a 0% chance of hitting the United States. Which is a very good thing.

[willjnewton]

why a opercent chance miamicanes 177?because weatherfreak 14 said a very slight chance..

[miamicanes177]

tropical storm by NHC.

[miamicanes177]

why a opercent chance miamicanes 177?because weatherfreak 14 said a very slight chance..

I guess he was just being very very cautious. This will hit no land in my opinion.

[Windsurfer_NYC]

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042006
1100 PM AST TUE AUG 22 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM
OF THE SEASON OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN...

[willjnewton]

I will agree with weatherfreak, miami canes177 because there is a very I mean very slight chance of this system hitting land

[Weatherfreak14]

why a opercent chance miamicanes 177?because weatherfreak 14 said a very slight chance..

I guess he was just being very very cautious. This will hit no land in my opinion.

I am being very cautious, cause this storm track can change by the weekend.

[Sanibel]

No red-tops on the IR.

[Brent]

Good Evening Debby! It's about time you appeared.

[wxman57]

if this system is still heading or continues westnorthwestward than why would it be fish???

It's not moving west-northwest/west. It's moving west-northwest to northwest - very close to northwest at 295-300 degrees. That heading would take it to New York City on a straight line. However, the high pressure north of the storm is shifting eastward over the Azores. This will allow for a gradual turn to the northwest to north-northwest over the next few days. There is very high agreement in all of the good dynamic models on this occurrence. The storm has been following this guidance and there is no data to support any threat to the Caribbean Sea or the east U.S. Coast.

[StormWarning1]

If the NHC 'passed' on upgrading to a tropical storm, I would not be surprised. The center looks to be around 15.5 and 29. Very little convection in the northern half of this system. Just plenty of stable air. All of the convection is to the south, the center would probably be exposed if daytime visible was available. The infrared satellite appearance has diminished in the last hour.

[jhamps10]

well horray, it's finally Debby it's about time NHC upgraded it.

[HurricaneHunter914]

And that leaves 97L to try to become Ernesto.

[JonathanBelles]

earliest ive ever seen an advisory come out.

[AnnularCane]

Hi Debby! We've been waiting a long time for you! Thanks for finally putting an end to all those "season cancel" threads. Just make yourself comfortable and enjoy the ride. Oh, and watch out for that nasty dry air and shear.

Yes, I'm talking to a tropical storm. So what?

[lester]

Hi Debby! We've been waiting a long time for you! Thanks for finally putting an end to all those "season cancel" threads. Just make yourself comfortable and enjoy the ride. Oh, and watch out for that nasty dry air.

Yes, I'm talking to a tropical storm. So what?

I love Deborah lol