I still think this will hit Mexico, unless it doesn't.
Enlightening.
Tropical Depression #5,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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gopherfan21
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stormernie
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OuterBanker
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gopherfan21
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southerngale
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Frank P wrote:southerngale wrote:Frank P wrote:cajungal wrote:Let's watch Bob Breck New Orleans met and see where his buddy VIPIR takes it. It may take it up the east coast.
HA... poor ole Bob... he'll be eating Katrina crow for some time... on a more serious note... I am just loving the 18Z model runs... the more this thing stays on a bee line to Mexico or Texas, the better for the SE LA, MS and AL coast... not to wish harm on anyone from the great state of Texas but we desperately need a break this year...
will seriously start watching for the westward trends to continue with each run.... can only hope.... nothing etched in granite as we all know how this can change in a heartbeat...
Ummm...so do we! Did you forget RITA? Many people still in FEMA trailers or living with relatives, rebuilding, etc.
I guess I was unaware that Texas got hit that hard from Rita, I thought most of the damage was in SW LA... sorry about that, obviously my bad....... so occupied with my own problems I've never investigated what Rita did to Texas... actually I was thinking that this might be headed toward middle Texas, which I'm pretty sure was unaffected by Rita.... I hope no one gets hit period, but if someone has to get hit, I only hope its not someone that got pummeled last year... from any of the major storm...
It's ok...the media was still concentrated on Katrina, well, mostly New Orleans, so they weren't exactly talking about Rita much. Anyway, you're right about the middle Texas coast, but you just said Texas, and we might be Southeast Texas, but we're still Texas too!
If you're interested, here's a quick link to see some of the damage from Hurricane Rita in SE Texas.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=79174
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ConvergenceZone
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If it is a storm and it hits Mexico, the weather channel will still have their crews out there. They did for Emily and one other storm(can't remember the name). Like I said earlier though, I'm not making any predictions on anything above tropical storm strength for this storm , because I really really don't know. I'll leave the predictions up to the experts 
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rnbaida
...Fifth tropical depression of the season forms near the Windward
Islands...
Aircraft reconnaissance observations indicate that a closed
circulation has formed in association with the strong tropical wave
moving though the Windward Islands.
At 500 PM AST...2100z...the center of Tropical Depression Five was
located near latitude 12.9 north...longitude 62.4 west or about 155
miles...250 km...southwest of Martinique and about 455 miles...730
km...south-southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico.
The depression is moving toward the west near 22 mph...and a west to
west-northwestward motion...with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm during
the next 24 hours.
The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve unit
reconnaissance aircraft was 1007 mb...29.74 inches.
Although the center of the depression is moving away from the
Windward Islands...rain bands trailing the center will be affecting
the islands tonight...with heavy rains and wind gusts to tropical
storm force in squalls. All interests in the Windward Islands...as
well as in Trinidad and Tobago...should exercise caution until
winds and seas subside.
Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches can be expected in
association with the depression.
Repeating the 500 PM AST position...12.9 N...62.4 W. Movement
toward...west near 22 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1007 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Franklin/Pasch
Islands...
Aircraft reconnaissance observations indicate that a closed
circulation has formed in association with the strong tropical wave
moving though the Windward Islands.
At 500 PM AST...2100z...the center of Tropical Depression Five was
located near latitude 12.9 north...longitude 62.4 west or about 155
miles...250 km...southwest of Martinique and about 455 miles...730
km...south-southeast of San Juan Puerto Rico.
The depression is moving toward the west near 22 mph...and a west to
west-northwestward motion...with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. The depression is expected to become a tropical storm during
the next 24 hours.
The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve unit
reconnaissance aircraft was 1007 mb...29.74 inches.
Although the center of the depression is moving away from the
Windward Islands...rain bands trailing the center will be affecting
the islands tonight...with heavy rains and wind gusts to tropical
storm force in squalls. All interests in the Windward Islands...as
well as in Trinidad and Tobago...should exercise caution until
winds and seas subside.
Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches can be expected in
association with the depression.
Repeating the 500 PM AST position...12.9 N...62.4 W. Movement
toward...west near 22 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1007 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Franklin/Pasch
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rnbaida
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ConvergenceZone
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gopherfan21
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SWFLA_CANE
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