Tropical Depression#5,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #5
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- deltadog03
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Looks like the system is moving north of due west.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html
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boca wrote:Looks like the system is moving north of due west.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html
Can't really use infared for that boca.

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TexWx wrote:I think the convection firing up like that makes it appear NW.
I agree... its prob. maintaining its wnw track, just close to impossible to track at night
On the shortwave.... its more noticeable... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-ir2.html
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- Category 5
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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Not alot this far out trust me. The Canadian model went from Galveston to pensacola in one run. The GFS about the same. These global models are showing a weakness developing east of Texas by Tuesday allowing Ernie to turn north, we'll see.deltadog03 wrote:but, can you honestly buy those models KFDM??? I mean, its not gonna bust into that ridge like that.
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- Category 5
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Just looking a the latest 0Z global guidance...the UKMET...GFS and CMC have all come together on a track that does not take TD5 due west...they have all bent northward and maintained the cyclone throughout the forecast period.
The idea that this system is going to fullback it's way into the sw shear in the sw Caribbean is essentially gone.
Now...the question is how strong will this get?
MW
The idea that this system is going to fullback it's way into the sw shear in the sw Caribbean is essentially gone.
Now...the question is how strong will this get?
MW
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