Typhoon Ioke Thread #2

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

Typhoon Ioke Thread #2

#1 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:38 am

Thread 1

Heading fixed by senorpepr
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#2 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 26, 2006 11:45 am

Fact, it's Ioke, not Ioki. And you might want to put something about being thread #2 in the title, as I almost didn't notice this second one.
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#3 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:17 pm

i asked luis and he was fine with it, sorry about the speling.
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#4 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:24 pm

And it's Hurricane. :wink:
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#5 Postby JonathanBelles » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:27 pm

i didnt make that mistake
0 likes   

bob rulz
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1704
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

#6 Postby bob rulz » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:34 pm

Anyway...as we figure out who did what to the title...there's still a nice big cat 5 spinning out there.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#7 Postby senorpepr » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:35 pm

fact789 wrote:i didnt make that mistake


It was like that originally...

Image
0 likes   

bombarderoazul
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 186
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:12 pm

#8 Postby bombarderoazul » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:37 pm

A historical storm, but not many people on these boards seem interested.
0 likes   

conestogo_flood
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1268
Joined: Wed Sep 28, 2005 5:49 pm

#9 Postby conestogo_flood » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:38 pm

How big is Ioke in compared to a landmass?
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#10 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:45 pm

About this big.

Image
Last edited by mtm4319 on Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#11 Postby senorpepr » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:46 pm

conestogo_flood wrote:How big is Ioke in compared to a landmass?


Just the main cloud mass, excluding the feeder bands well to the south, it would be around 400 mi wide and high. That would extend from Chicago to the near Springfield, Missouri.
0 likes   

whereverwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1109
Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm

#12 Postby whereverwx » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:46 pm

conestogo_flood wrote:How big is Ioke in compared to a landmass?

You can compare it to Hawaii.

Image
Last edited by whereverwx on Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38106
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#13 Postby Brent » Sat Aug 26, 2006 12:47 pm

mtm4319 wrote:About this big.

Image


WOW. That reminds me a lot of Katrina.
0 likes   
#neversummer

clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#14 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:27 pm

TXPN40 PHFO 261817
TCSCP

CENTRAL PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY - FIXES
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1815 UTC SAT AUG 26 2006

HURRICANE IOKE LOCATED AT 18.4N 177.7W AT 26/1730 UTC BASED ON GOES
11 AND MTSTAT 2 KM IR RESOLUTIONS SECTOR IMAGERY AND ANIMATION.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM 1 MINUTE MEAN WIND
SPEED 140 KT. MOVEMENT ESTIMATED TOWARDS 209 DEGREES AT 7 KT OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. DIAMETER OF EYE IS 24 NM.

T7.0/7.0/D1.0/24 HOURS

REMARKS...POSITION BASED ON BOTH GOES 11 AND MTSTAT IMAGERY. EYE
SURROUNDED BY WHITE RING RESULTING IN CF OF 6.0. EYE ADJUSTMENT ADDS
.5...RESULTING IN A CF AND DT OF 6.5. MET IS 7.0...PT IS 6.5. FT
BASED ON MET. AODT YIELDS 6.9.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6667
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#15 Postby Cyclenall » Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:58 pm

First of all, HOLY CRAP. Ok now down to business:

Ioke is just unreal. I have been looking at these images and it is starting to look more and more like Cyclone Monica. The shape of the cyclone is nearing perfect which is almost never seen. Monica was perfect, Ioke maybe too soon. The deep convection is much bigger which justifies a CAT5 hurricane (soon to be Super Typhoon). The eye was been perfect for many hours now so who knows what else will happen. The GFDL hopefully will be correct and strengthen to record territory.
0 likes   

User avatar
WxGuy1
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 538
Joined: Sat Oct 22, 2005 12:55 pm
Location: Oklahoma

#16 Postby WxGuy1 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:07 pm

Cyclenall wrote: Ioke is just unreal.


Naw, I think Ioke looks like garbage.... C'mon, we see this type of satellite presentation all the time! :darrow:

Image

Kidding of course -- she's a beaut!
0 likes   

User avatar
Epsilon_Fan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 353
Joined: Fri Jan 13, 2006 1:03 pm
Location: Charleston, SC

#17 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:21 pm

could we dare say she is becoming annular? :)
0 likes   

User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:

#18 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:24 pm

It's pretty safe to say she already is.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6667
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#19 Postby Cyclenall » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:25 pm

The first visible images are coming out. Already it looks like Daniel....only more powerful. It reminds me of Cyclone Monica too which I thought I wouldn't see for years.
0 likes   

mtm4319
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1537
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:47 am
Location: Mobile, AL

#20 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:28 pm

Wow, it's moving SSW now. It looks like heat content is about the same along the date line between 10 and 20 degrees N though:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2006237np.jpg

Epsilon_Fan wrote:could we dare say she is becoming annular? :)


I dunno, it doesn't look like it to me from the pic WxGuy1 posted -- there are still quite a few feeder bands to the southeast of the center.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricaneman, Killjoy12, Majestic-12 [Bot] and 45 guests