boca wrote:If Ernesto rides the spine of Cuba it will be a wave hitting Florida not a storm.
There are no mountains in the northern coast of Cuba. Therefore, I think it would hold itself but not dissipate.
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ncdowneast wrote:actually current projected path for landfall is a good one since it will make landfall over sparsely populated areas of south florida and may limit any damages and destruction.Here in NC it looks to make landfall just on the eastern shore of bogue banks which is more populated and tourist area.Of course this track will change again and it could be further east if it does as long as a blocking high doesnt form to the NE of the storm when it leaves florida then i think we will be ok.
cpdaman wrote:the south east quad is now firing very well (no longer infuenced by haiti) and the storm appears to be maintaining its own
lets all pray this takes the longer road over cuba
however the infared representation is decent lets see if convection fires on north coast of cuba or if the mountain continue to erode nw quadrant
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html
Canelaw99 wrote:ncdowneast wrote:actually current projected path for landfall is a good one since it will make landfall over sparsely populated areas of south florida and may limit any damages and destruction.Here in NC it looks to make landfall just on the eastern shore of bogue banks which is more populated and tourist area.Of course this track will change again and it could be further east if it does as long as a blocking high doesnt form to the NE of the storm when it leaves florida then i think we will be ok.
Hate to tell you, but the current 2am Wed. NHC forecast point is directly over my city - Homestead, FL. It's NOT sparsely populated. In fact, it has become rather populated over the last 5 yrs. while I've lived there. It would be much better for it to go in over the Everglades and die there. Now that is sparsely populated areas of S. FL. Unfortunately, the current path has it affecting Southern Dade, Metro Dade, Broward, etc. which is definitely a worst case scenario.
Blown_away wrote:Look at the loop and click on the Lat/long and tropical forecast points, I'm seeing alot of convection firing and it appears the center would be along 75, which would be a little ENE of the NHC track, IMO
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-wv.html
Thatsmrhurricane wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/rgb-l.jpg
Center could be closer to 20.5N 74W? We need recon bad.
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