Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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StormsAhead
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#2381 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:39 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Normandy wrote:NO NO coordinates. Where was the report in terms of location.


Based on the data, it appeared to be 20.4N, 74.1W


Recon didn't pass that location. If you meant 20 degrees 40' and 74 degrees 10', there is no center there according to the data. Wind direction is a constant 140-145 degrees.
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Thunder44
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#2382 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:41 pm

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#2383 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:43 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 281839
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 13 KNHC
1830 2120N 07555W 00304 5017 115 041 226 226 041 00298 00V
1830. 2120N 07557W 00306 5018 114 042 224 224 043 00298 0000000000
1831 2121N 07559W 00304 5018 114 042 224 224 042 00296 0000000000
1831. 2122N 07601W 00306 5019 112 040 224 224 041 00298 0000000000
1832 2122N 07603W 00304 5019 113 044 224 224 044 00295 0000000000
1832. 2123N 07605W 00306 5020 114 044 220 220 044 00296 0000000000
1833 2124N 07606W 00304 5020 115 043 222 222 044 00295 0000000000
1833. 2125N 07608W 00304 5021 111 043 222 222 044 00294 0000000000
1834 2126N 07610W 00306 5021 110 043 222 222 044 00296 0000000000
1834. 2126N 07612W 00304 5021 110 042 222 222 043 00294 0000000000
1835 2127N 07614W 00305 5020 108 041 220 220 043 00295 0000000000
1835. 2128N 07616W 00305 5020 108 042 216 216 042 00295 0000000000
1836 2129N 07617W 00306 5020 111 041 210 210 042 00296 0000000000
1836. 2130N 07619W 00304 5020 111 042 216 216 043 00294 0000000000
1837 2130N 07621W 00305 5021 108 043 214 214 044 00295 0000000000
1837. 2131N 07623W 00305 5021 107 042 220 220 043 00295 0000000000
1838 2132N 07625W 00304 5021 107 041 220 220 042 00294 0000000000
1838. 2133N 07627W 00307 5021 106 042 220 220 042 00296 0000000000
1839 2134N 07629W 00303 5021 104 042 220 220 042 00293 0000000000
1839. 2135N 07630W 00305 5020 102 042 220 220 043 00295 0000000000

44 knots at FL (35 knots surface)
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Thunder44
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#2384 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:44 pm

CronkPSU wrote:i thought they couldn't fly over cuba...are they just investigating the parts over water?


Yes, just over the water to see if they center has come offshore. I'm putting up maps now.
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#2385 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:45 pm

A complete set of obs that has winds in the 40's.
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#2386 Postby stormernie » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:46 pm

Center near 21.5 and 76.5
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rnbaida

#2387 Postby rnbaida » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:46 pm

so has the center moved off the coast and what are the wind speeds?
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#2388 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:46 pm

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#2389 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:48 pm

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MiamiensisWx

#2390 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:48 pm

EDIT - Oops, posted in wrong thread.

With the possibility of a weak LLC in the vicinity of the MLC, along with these new RECON reports, it is no surprise that Ernesto's tropical storm status has been maintained in the advisories.
Last edited by MiamiensisWx on Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2391 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:49 pm

stormernie wrote:Center near 21.5 and 76.5


Steady wind direction of 102-107 degrees there, so it's not a center.
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#2392 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:50 pm

rnbaida wrote:so has the center moved off the coast and what are the wind speeds?


The center has not been found off Cuba yet, but they have found winds that would keep Ernesto a tropical storm (40 mph at the surface).
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#2393 Postby rnbaida » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:50 pm

***********Folks, look at the visible, the center just moved off the coast of cuba**********
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#2394 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:52 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 281849
AF309 1005A ERNESTO HDOB 14 KNHC
1840 2135N 07632W 00305 5020 102 038 224 224 039 00295 0000000000
1840. 2136N 07634W 00305 5020 104 035 226 226 036 00295 0000000000
1841 2137N 07636W 00304 5020 105 036 226 226 036 00294 0000000000
1841. 2138N 07637W 00307 5020 107 035 222 222 035 00298 0000000000
1842 2138N 07639W 00303 5020 103 038 206 206 043 00294 0000000000
1842. 2139N 07641W 00302 5020 107 031 204 204 033 00293 0000000000
1843 2140N 07643W 00306 5019 099 027 202 202 028 00297 0000000000
1843. 2141N 07645W 00305 5018 091 031 210 210 032 00297 0000000000
1844 2141N 07646W 00303 5018 076 030 218 218 030 00295 0000000000
1844. 2142N 07648W 00306 5017 067 028 212 212 029 00300 0000000000
1845 2143N 07650W 00303 5017 061 028 212 212 028 00296 0000000000
1845. 2144N 07651W 00307 5015 061 025 210 210 028 00302 0000000000
1846 2144N 07653W 00306 5015 053 030 198 198 034 00301 0000000000
1846. 2145N 07654W 00305 5015 050 034 198 198 035 00300 0000000000
1847 2146N 07656W 00304 5014 047 030 210 210 031 00300 0000000000
1847. 2146N 07658W 00304 5013 052 030 220 220 031 00301 0000000000
1848 2147N 07659W 00303 5012 049 029 222 222 030 00301 0000000000
1848. 2148N 07701W 00305 5012 052 030 224 224 030 00304 0000000000
1849 2148N 07702W 00305 5011 055 030 222 222 030 00305 0000000000
1849. 2149N 07704W 00304 5010 054 030 216 216 030 00304 0000000000

Winds go from E to ENE to NE...but they still haven't gone through the center.
Last edited by StormsAhead on Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thatsmrhurricane
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#2395 Postby Thatsmrhurricane » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:A complete set of obs that has winds in the 40's.


And on the NW side of where ever Ernesto is right now.
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#2396 Postby jpigott » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:56 pm

winds in the 40s on the NW, where there is no convection?? that's a little odd isn't it
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#2397 Postby StormsAhead » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:56 pm

The visible center isn't necessarily the surface center. On the other hand, the reports show that a center is probably located just south of the plane's path.
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#2398 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:57 pm

jpigott wrote:winds in the 40s on the NW, where there is no convection?? that's a little odd isn't it


why start making sense now? (re: to the storm, not you :lol: )
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#2399 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 28, 2006 1:58 pm

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fci
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#2400 Postby fci » Mon Aug 28, 2006 2:00 pm

gatorcane wrote:the point is to speed this up that is why they changed it. :D


Yeah, 348 in this forum now.
Suspend avatars and some other features.

Hey whatever they can do to keep the board up, I'm all for it.
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