TD #6 Central Atlantic,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread
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- cycloneye
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SouthFloridawx,the invest is for the better organized area behind what the models were iniciating for 98L which was 39w.
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- WindRunner
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO...OVER MARYLAND.
A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PREVIOUSLY OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS
NOW OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD
BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
A NEW AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 750 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SAT SEP 2 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC IS
ISSUING ADVISORIES ON THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO...OVER MARYLAND.
A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PREVIOUSLY OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS
NOW OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD
BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT
1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD ABOUT 10
MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY...
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
A NEW AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED ABOUT 750 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM SHOWS SIGNS
OF ORGANIZATION...AND ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD ABOUT 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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- cycloneye
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They divided 98L into 2 diffeent entities and now the easternmost area is 90L.
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- SouthFloridawx
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You can see both 98 and 90L in this shot. 90 is the good lookin one in the back.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

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- GeneratorPower
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I for one am suprised that they made this into 2 invests. JIMO here but I think that 90L and 98L are in the same wave axis, that is if I am looking at things correctly. But oh well, their decision and not mine, I think that both, actually all 3 invests have a solid chance of development, and infact I think that 90L and 98L could merge and create 9098L
but seriously I do think that they could come together, question is, what would we call it then 


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jhamps10 wrote:I for one am suprised that they made this into 2 invests. JIMO here but I think that 90L and 98L are in the same wave axis, that is if I am looking at things correctly. But oh well, their decision and not mine, I think that both, actually all 3 invests have a solid chance of development, and infact I think that 90L and 98L could merge and create 9098Lbut seriously I do think that they could come together, question is, what would we call it then
Not a big deal unless they both become TDs and one of them become the dominant one and gobbles up the other and they merge becoming a whole new TD. So we would have TD 6 & 7 merging to form 8. All in all though, I think they are to close together for both invests to develop-I'd expect just one.
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- huricanwatcher
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- huricanwatcher
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the_winds_that_sheared_me wrote:
Not a big deal unless they both become TDs and one of them become the dominant one and gobbles up the other and they merge becoming a whole new TD. So we would have TD 6 & 7 merging to form 8. All in all though, I think they are to close together for both invests to develop-I'd expect just one.
That would never happen.....
First off it's rather unlikely that both INVESTS would make TD...conceivably possible, but I'd really doubt it. They're really going to fight inflow-wise and I suspect one of the two never makes it past INVEST.
If they did, one is going to eat the other in fairly short order...if so, it wouldn't be given a new TD number; it would be pretty clear which one ingested the other and the combined system would have that number, rather than be assigned a new TD number.
In any event, if one at the other I'd suspect the "winner" would be a named storm by the time it ingested/destroyed the other TD anyway.
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- huricanwatcher
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