
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
255 PM EDT WED SEP 6 2006
SAT-WED...TROPICAL CYCLONE FLORENCE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL EAST
OF CENTRAL FLORIDA. VIRTUALLY ALL 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG
AGREEMENT IN TURNING FLORENCE NORTH BEFORE REACHING 70W LONGITUDE.
THE RESULTING IMPACT TO THE FORECAST AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE BUILDING
INCOMING SWELL LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK INCREASING THE
THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE AS A DRIER NE
FLOW DEVELOPS BY MONDAY DUE TO COMBINATION OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
SOUTH AND CIRCULATION AROUND FLORENCE. WILL KEEP 20% POPS ALG THE
COAST MON-WED WITH ONLY SLIGHTLY HIGHER RAIN CHANCES INTERIOR.