mwd possible development
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weatherwindow
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mwd possible development
from the 130am MWD from the TAFB....SOME INDICATION FROM THE GFS MODEL OF A NEW TROPICAL SYSTEM NEAR 10N37W BUT WILL WAIT TO SEE IF FURTHER RUNS OF THE MODEL CONTINUE TO SHOW THIS FEAUTURE....perhaps a bit of interest...georges 1998 formed in near this area on 9/15 and with some indications of a more contiguous ridge, post florence, which has been alluded to in other posts, perhaps this prospective system wont be subject to early recurvature.......rich
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SouthFloridawx
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Rich,
I was looking at the strong ridge that is going to build in after Flo and it's east coast counterpart. I think we'll see some increased activity in the coming weeks and I see no reason to dispell that the season is over. Even if we might be in a slight El Nino, doesn't that mainly affect the Caribbean with above normal shear.
With a strong ridge building in and east coast troughs I think we may see a Decent cane try to make a run at the East Coast US. This season is far from over.
I was looking at the strong ridge that is going to build in after Flo and it's east coast counterpart. I think we'll see some increased activity in the coming weeks and I see no reason to dispell that the season is over. Even if we might be in a slight El Nino, doesn't that mainly affect the Caribbean with above normal shear.
With a strong ridge building in and east coast troughs I think we may see a Decent cane try to make a run at the East Coast US. This season is far from over.
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SouthFloridawx
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00Z Model runs show development down towards that region.
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/em ... single.gif
As did the 06Z
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/em ... single.gif
Obviously it's not well organized but, lets see if the GFS and other model trend some development down there.
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/em ... single.gif
As did the 06Z
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/em ... single.gif
Obviously it's not well organized but, lets see if the GFS and other model trend some development down there.
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