Jim Hughes wrote:kenl01 wrote:We are going to freeze our buns off this winter. In 2002 a weak El-Nino developed. and everyone remembers that very cold snowy winter in the Eastern U.S. in 02/03.
The pattern will be different this winter compared to 04/05 and 05/06. I see much colder conditions with heavier snowfall.
I sent out a preliminary forecast/heads up on _June 2nd _of this year to many different people in the news, local MET's, and some even at TWC etc...about this developing EL Nino and the possible chance of us having the coldest winter in 30 years around the northeast/mid-Atlantic.
I am sure most thought that this El Nino/winter outlook was absurd. How many of them think this now?
There are one or two more variables to consider here but things are still looking good for a colder than normal winter.
I am not to sure about it being the coldest in 30 years though. And why should I have to say this anyway? NOAA and the CPC do not do this. All I have ever asked for is a level playing field. Many may have noticed that this is hard to get. Politics play a major role. Even in weather forums.
Jim, you jumped on this developing El Nino, early on. You are to be commended.