Hurricane Helene,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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mike815
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#301 Postby mike815 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:15 pm

I have to disagree this still could have a big impact on bermuda and canadian maratimes anyways and the GFS isnt junk either there is a significant disagreement in the models NHC says have to wait and see witch set of guidence wins out
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TheRingo
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#302 Postby TheRingo » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:18 pm

She now has an opening to go north towards gordon.

Image

edit: thanks maybe this is better layer
Last edited by TheRingo on Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#303 Postby trugunz » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:21 pm

deep convection is starting to wrap
Image
Last edited by trugunz on Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:30 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#304 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:29 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

Helene looks better than a 75 Mph hurricane IMO.
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#305 Postby trugunz » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:36 pm

18z continues it going west and it looks like it weakens the 2nd trof? Help here. What do u think

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#306 Postby trugunz » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:40 pm

still continuing west. Still no North turn

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#307 Postby huricanwatcher » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:42 pm

where do you see that shes going north...... the high is supressing her west..... ok .. are we ready.... ?
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#308 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:47 pm

Wow...just off the Florida coast :eek:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _216.shtml
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#309 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:49 pm

Image

Looking good!!!
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the_winds_that_sheared_me
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#310 Postby the_winds_that_sheared_me » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:51 pm

This would be a nightmare for the whole east coast :eek:
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#311 Postby artist » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:52 pm

where is herberts box? I have fogotten.
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#312 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:53 pm

holy h e double hockey sticks...I hope that this run doesnt verify...yikes!
EDIT: has anyone noticed every run has been trending a little further west?
DOUBLE EDIT: I dont like that...I dont like hurricanes coming over me...what would that correspond to and does it have todays G-IV flight data in it?
Last edited by brunota2003 on Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Evil Jeremy
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#313 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:58 pm

yep!
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#314 Postby trugunz » Sat Sep 16, 2006 5:58 pm

GFS track is similar to the great new england hurricane

Image

Its only one run, may change, but you have to agree its quitee scary it swows and all day it trended west.
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#315 Postby the_winds_that_sheared_me » Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:02 pm

....And the GFS model is usually too deep with troughs turning storms way out to sea that end up making it further west. Im kinda surprised to see this from the GFS.
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#316 Postby trugunz » Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:04 pm

Cant wait till the 0z gfs comes out, and the other models tonight, see if they trend with the gfs
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Evil Jeremy
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#317 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:08 pm

it is known for the GFS to sometimes act as a "base model", or so i have heard before, i think from cycloneye. so if that is true, some of the models could follow west!
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#318 Postby trugunz » Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:10 pm

Lets see what GFDL trends or not
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#319 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:11 pm

It's takes it so ridiculously far south that we can hope it runs into Hispanola and weakens it alot before it comes up the east coast.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#320 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 16, 2006 6:11 pm

WHOA!!!

:shocked!: :crazyeyes:
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