I've never seen this few people in here...

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wxmann_91
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#41 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Sep 20, 2006 12:33 am

Category 5 wrote:Not true

1994, 7 named storms, it only snowed once the following winter.

1997: 7 named storms, snowed once the following winter.

Category 5 wrote:Well I can't find a pattern with El Nino winters, the last two were a far cry from each other

1997-1998, snowed once
2002-2003, one of the snowiest on record.


In 2002-03 the subtropical and polar jets phased well. The enhanced subtropical jet during weak-mdt El Nino winters often enhances noreasters when the two branches of the jet stream phase. OTOH, strong Nino's like 94-95 and especially 97-98 keep the pattern progressive and phasing becomes difficult, and even often the storm passes quickly w/o much snow.
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#42 Postby oceancounty » Wed Sep 20, 2006 8:53 am

Let's not even talk about snow. I am not looking forward to the winter, but thankfully this will be my last winter here in NJ!!! I can't wait to move!
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#43 Postby storms in NC » Wed Sep 20, 2006 9:14 am

brunota2003 wrote:
AnnularCane wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:I want to be a wonderful forecaster...:lol: No hurricanes to anyone...lots of snow here in NC...and to get rid of this dang (less colorful) stuffed up nose...



You may need a doctor for that, not a forecaster. :lol:
well...I'm hoping to aviod that...plus the fact my school went to some stupid "if you miss more than ten days of school you fail regardless of excused/unexcused or passing/failing your classes..." so a trip to the docters needs to be avioded at almost all costs...however about a foot of snow would cheer me up :) :lol:


My son'd school is the same way. I think it is wrong. then others get sick.




Now back to what we are talking about here. We have only a few that really love to track storms on here. You only have alot when there is a US hit going to happen. If they were really storm wachers and wanted to learn they would be here. I check in a few times a day between cleaning the home taking a break. I enjoy reading posts here. And really trying to learn. I will be 51 in Nov and a grandmother of 3. But I stick with it. I love it here on storm 2k.

Deb
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#44 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 21, 2006 1:41 pm

In my view,it looks like after that special advisory from CPC came out on the 13th about El nino developing,it turned off many members.That combined with a quiet Atlantic in terms of systems getting close to land areas has contribute to the gathering of members brownsing Talking Tropics forum to be below normal for September.
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#45 Postby fci » Thu Sep 21, 2006 1:59 pm

cycloneye wrote:In my view,it looks like after that special advisory from CPC came out on the 13th about El nino developing,it turned off many members.That combined with a quiet Atlantic in terms of systems getting close to land areas has contribute to the gathering of members brownsing Talking Tropics forum to be below normal for September.


Just wait Luis.
A threat from the Carib or GOM or if somehow a system gets under a ridge and traverses the Atlantic and this board will be jumpin, y'all be monitoring, handing out suspensions and deleting posts with one word posts and single emoticons.

Ah, the good times are probably not yet over for this season's Talkin Topics!

:lol:
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#46 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 21, 2006 2:04 pm

And fci,dont forget that Talking Tropics is open all year around,not closes on november 30th,because discussiing about tropical weather never rests.
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#47 Postby Stormhunter27 » Thu Sep 21, 2006 2:45 pm

I have to say that even if this year has been slow, I've learned more about hurricane forecasting than any other year. And despite the low numbers, it's been great to read the posts. I'm slowly becoming less of a lurker...

Thanks everyone!

M
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#48 Postby Toadstool » Thu Sep 21, 2006 3:14 pm

cycloneye wrote:And fci,dont forget that Talking Tropics is open all year around,not closes on november 30th,because discussiing about tropical weather never rests.


Especially when it goes past Nov30 and into the next calendar year like 2005 did with Zeta (died Jan 6, 2006)!
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#49 Postby hial2 » Thu Sep 21, 2006 3:43 pm

Stormhunter27 wrote:I have to say that even if this year has been slow, I've learned more about hurricane forecasting than any other year. And despite the low numbers, it's been great to read the posts. I'm slowly becoming less of a lurker...

Thanks everyone!

M


The same here...i've also learned more this year than last..slower year meant more enlightening discussions by the pro mets..thank you all!!
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#50 Postby texasbell » Thu Sep 21, 2006 5:59 pm

Things are much better this year, so I guess quiet is good! I thought the Daily Show did a good job of summing up the reliability of early hurricane predictions last night! :) I'm certainly glad it didn't turn out as bad as they said 2006 was going to be.

http://www.comedycentral.com/shows/the_ ... ndex.jhtml
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#51 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:26 pm

I think this year has been the most frustrating, not because of it being slow, but because the systems couldn't could make their minds up on what they wanted to do, and often didn't do what they were expected to do....

I did call for an early end to the season, so we'll see if I'm right, so far so good ;)...

As I stated earlier though, we will NOT have two slow seasons in a row like this, or I should say, we will NOT have 2 seasons in a row where the USA gets so lucky.....I can't believe how lucky we've been this year. It boggles my mind, but I guess we are bound to get lucky every 10 years or so, and this was one of those fluke LUCKY years...Next year I'm sure it will be back to normal.
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#52 Postby chadtm80 » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:29 pm

Just a reminder.. This year was more "normal" then last year
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#53 Postby Opal storm » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:36 pm

I wouldn't write this season off just yet,we could have one more burst of activity in October.
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#54 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:37 pm

I cant believe I didnt kill this thread as well...(see Thread Killer thread in OT) :lol: Thank God for the quieter season...much much needed...I think over the last 3 years Mother Nature proved she is still in total control...
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#55 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:39 pm

Opal storm wrote:I wouldn't write this season off just yet,we could have one more burst of activity in October.


sure we could, but the chances of that happening are extremely slim based upon the conditions I'm seeing out there right now, and the conditions will only get worse as time goes on.
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#56 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:40 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Just a reminder.. This year was more "normal" then last year


While I do agree that the season was much more closer to normal than it's been the last few years, it wasn't normal for the USA to get off the hook so easily. I guess that's what I meant....Just one of those fluke seasons.
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#57 Postby hial2 » Fri Sep 22, 2006 8:45 pm

oceancounty wrote:Let's not even talk about snow. I am not looking forward to the winter, but thankfully this will be my last winter here in NJ!!! I can't wait to move!


Hope you're not coming down to SFla!! I'll trade you snow flakes for the 747 sized palmetto-sized roaches that live here..Did you know that they are known to steal babies from their cribs?? :eek:

My last summer here!!.. No more hurricanes, no more unbearable humidity driven heat.. North Carolina (Waxshaw) here I come..
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#58 Postby Opal storm » Fri Sep 22, 2006 9:14 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Opal storm wrote:I wouldn't write this season off just yet,we could have one more burst of activity in October.


sure we could, but the chances of that happening are extremely slim based upon the conditions I'm seeing out there right now, and the conditions will only get worse as time goes on.
I wouldn't say it is extremely slim,in October activity does die down but it's usually not a totally dead month.Considering waves are still rolling off Africa and the slight chance of a home-grown type system near the Gulf/NW Carib I don't see why we won't see 2 maybe 3 more more storms,though they'll probably be fishes.
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#59 Postby TheShrimper » Fri Sep 22, 2006 9:19 pm

Along with a bunch more Floridians getting out. Did you check out SC ? The taxes are much less and you can get a new brick 4/2 on a half acre for about 150,000 to 175,000.
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#60 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Sep 22, 2006 9:32 pm

Opal storm wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
Opal storm wrote:I wouldn't write this season off just yet,we could have one more burst of activity in October.


sure we could, but the chances of that happening are extremely slim based upon the conditions I'm seeing out there right now, and the conditions will only get worse as time goes on.
I wouldn't say it is extremely slim,in October activity does die down but it's usually not a totally dead month.Considering waves are still rolling off Africa and the slight chance of a home-grown type system near the Gulf/NW Carib I don't see why we won't see 2 maybe 3 more more storms,though they'll probably be fishes.


you could be right, but I guess I'm just extremely skeptical because of the way the season has been, and usually when conditions look like they do now, it usually means an early end to the season....
I guess it's possible that there may be a couple of weak storms developing in October though.
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