Invest 97L North of V.I,Puerto Rico,Models,Sats and Comments

[N2FSU]

yawn... I don't see a Florida hurricane hit this year... the whole Gulf Coast deserves a break

[HurricaneHunter914]

I'm happy that Florida hasn't been hit so hard, the theme parks around here don't need to get hammered, especially cypress gardens.

[knotimpaired]

We are just now getting the thunder, etc associated with this wave. It has been raining on and off for about an hour but nothing major yet.

If you are interested in the area of Vieques/Culebra/US Virgin Islands you can go to our personal weather station online at http://www.playacofi.com/weather

[caribepr]

No rain here yet but some great thunder rumbles!

[knotimpaired]

Good morning,

We have had .71" in the last 40 minutes or so and it is still raining.

The plants love it!!!!!

K

[caribepr]

Good morning,

We have had .71" in the last 40 minutes or so and it is still raining.

The plants love it!!!!!

K

I'm jealous! The sound of thunder is now FARTHER away. According to the radar, the rain, as is often the case, slipped right around us, but there is still hope from that big blob coming along!
(And a plane just took off...not a good sign for heavy rain between here and PR in the next half hour or so )

[cycloneye]

Is out in San Juan this morning.But I know that with the orographic effects of Puerto Rico,as the wave moves thru,the precipitation will increase especially this afternoon.

[caribepr]

Well, I've watered the plants and I'm heading to town to open the cart.. that means it SHOULD rain! and if it rains, there's always Dinghy Dock!

[msbee]

It's a beautiful day here.
We had some thunder and lightning last night but just as I forecast, not a drop of rain.

[Evil Jeremy]

any models still forecast any devlopment?

[marcane_1973]

any models still forecast any devlopment?

Nope the NHC calls for dissipation.

[cycloneye]

Floater is over limping 97L.No west winds reported so far here in San Juan nor in the Virgin Islands http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/pr/hourly.html

.As a matter of fact,it's a beautiful day here with fresh breeze and some high clouds .

[hcane27]

any models still forecast any devlopment?

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972006) ON 20060929 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060929 1200 060930 0000 060930 1200 061001 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 19.2N 63.7W 20.3N 65.5W 21.2N 67.1W 22.0N 68.6W
BAMM 19.2N 63.7W 20.2N 65.7W 21.0N 67.6W 22.0N 69.6W
A98E 19.2N 63.7W 20.0N 65.2W 21.0N 66.7W 22.6N 68.2W
LBAR 19.2N 63.7W 20.5N 65.1W 21.5N 66.3W 22.8N 67.0W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 32KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 32KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
061001 1200 061002 1200 061003 1200 061004 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.8N 69.9W 24.9N 71.9W 26.2N 73.0W 27.9N 73.0W
BAMM 23.1N 71.5W 24.7N 74.0W 25.2N 76.6W 25.1N 79.3W
A98E 24.6N 69.5W 28.1N 70.0W 30.5N 67.7W 32.8N 60.1W
LBAR 24.3N 68.4W 26.6N 69.3W 28.6N 68.6W 30.0N 67.6W
SHIP 39KTS 48KTS 51KTS 50KTS
DSHP 39KTS 48KTS 51KTS 50KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 19.2N LONCUR = 63.7W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 18.6N LONM12 = 62.3W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 17.9N LONM24 = 60.4W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 75NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

[Evil Jeremy]

i really cant read those model plots in numbers. do they day yes or no?

[cycloneye]

524
ABNT20 KNHC 291506
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI SEP 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC...LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT
10 MPH JUST NORTHEAST OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY
REMAINS MINIMAL AND DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART


I dont know why they are still running the models for this little system.

[Evil Jeremy]

Atlantic Floater2 is now on it, but there calling it "Invest 92L"!!! why?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

[cycloneye]

Atlantic Floater2 is now on it, but there calling it "Invest 92L"!!! why?

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

It's an error,but anyway the invest will be dropped later tonight or tommorow morning as there is nothing left of that system for the models to run.

By thw way not a drop in San Juan today.Warm sunny skie prevailed.So msbee you nailed the not a drop thing.

[caribepr]

We watched the one huge grey cloud all day as it s l o w l y passed over us with not a drop of rain. Strange day, the island ready, just extremely hot instead. glad I watered the gardens!

[CrazyC83]

Looks dead to me.

[brunota2003]

what is there to dissipate? dont you have to have something there in order to have dissipation?