SE Texas weather thread - Strong storms Sun/Mon

[JenBayles]

I really have to laugh. Dr. Niel was right on this forecast, but I don't think even he caught the rain developing to our SW this afternoon. What gives? Not only are we back in the soup, but rain heading towards Houston at 4:20 today?

[Extremeweatherguy]

yeah and severe weather too! Could be an interesting night for Houston with a 30% chance of strong storms through tomorrow.

[JenBayles]

Now doesn't that figure? The Weather Gods must have gotten wind of our plans for a motor-sickle ride out to Round Top tomorrow.

[PTrackerLA]

That was probably the shortest lived cold front I've ever seen, it's already warming up again and we'll only be in the low 60's tonight followed by 90's every day starting Sunday through Friday. So much for an early fall.

[Yankeegirl]

I just looked at the doppler and it looks like the storms are falling apart as they get closer to harris county... it guess its the big dome blocking the rain again!!

[JenBayles]

Man, the League City boyz missed this one big time!

Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
625 PM CDT FRI SEP 29 2006

TXZ197-198-210>213-226-227-237-238-300025-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-WALLER-
WASHINGTON-WHARTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRENHAM...COLUMBUS...EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...
EL CAMPO...WHARTON...GALVESTON...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...
FRIENDSWOOD...HEMPSTEAD...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...
NAVASOTA...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...ANGLETON...FREEPORT...
SEALY...BELLVILLE...SUGARLAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBURG
625 PM CDT FRI SEP 29 2006

.NOW...
THROUGH 630 PM...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS JACKSON
AND WHARTON COUNTIES. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP IN ADJACENT MATAGORDA...COLORADO...BRAZORIA AND FORT
BEND COUNTIES. MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH OR
LESS. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. RAINFALL WILL
RANGE FROM ONE HALF INCH TO ONE INCH EXCEPT OVER 2 INCHES FROM
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

[Yankeegirl]

Still hasnt reached my area yet, it drizzled, but no thunder or anything... still looks very dark to the south though... what ever they are from, they are moving sloooooow!

[JenBayles]

7:10 p.m: light rain under the Bear Creek Dome and some good thunder rolling outside. I'm actually enjoying it. I've walked the curs, showered, jumped in my jammies, got a glass of wine, and continued some research. The thunder is quite a nice accompaniment. I love thunderstorms after dark.

[Extremeweatherguy]

just got a nice view of lightning as the main cell passed to my NW. No rain here though (yet).

[Yankeegirl]

Nice thunder and lightning a little while ago while I was eating dinner, but I think its all over now... Now I have some home work to do.... I think I am going to do what Jen is doing, sounds like a nice comfortable plan!!

[KatDaddy]

The Houston thread has been going for quite awhile....so lets keep it going.

Walking from the Dallas/Travis Metro stop 2 blocks to the office was very nice. Riding the Metro Bus back to League City I noticed we had something to the SW. The weather throws everyone curves from time to time. It was impressive to see the VIS sat explode this afternoon.......seabreeze and warmfront interaction.

[JenBayles]

The Houston thread has been going for quite awhile....so lets keep it going.

Agree! It's nice to be able to head to one thread instead of sifting through multiples. Much easier on my old eyes.

[Extremeweatherguy]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
230 PM CDT SAT SEP 30 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEATHER STORY FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WILL
BE WARM TEMPERATURES. NO COLD FRONTS WILL EVEN GET CLOSE TO OUR AREA.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS STILL EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS OUT WEST. AT THE SURFACE...A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BE IN CONTROL OF OUR AREA. THE COMBINATION OF THESE
FEATURES WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES ON THE VERY VERY LOW SIDE (NOT WORTH
MENTIONING IN THE ZONES). IN FACT...MODELS STILL INDICATE PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES FALLING TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS AN EVEN DRIER AIRMASS
MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE EAST AND NORTHEAST. AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS
DISCUSSIONS...OUR DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGE MIGHT END UP BEING QUITE
LARGE THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. WE COULD EVEN END UP SEEING SOME
RECORD HIGHS.

RELIEF MAY COME TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND OR THE START OF NEXT
WEEK AS THE UPPER TROUGH OUT WEST BEGINS TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND
BREAKS DOWN OUR UPPER RIDGE. AS A RESULT...DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD BEGIN
TO COME DOWN AND WE SHOULD END UP SEEING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES WITH
THE APPROACH OF A COLD FRONT. 42

[Extremeweatherguy]

I have changed the name of this thread from "Houston front thread" to "Houston weather thread".

[JenBayles]

Great idea Extreme. I was wondering if we'd get booted out of USA and into Winter Weather in another month or so, and that solves that. Many thanks for the great job of keeping we Houstonians up on current weather events.

In fact, I think it's such a great idea I'd love to see threads for other cities pop up on the board. Any takers?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Great idea Extreme. I was wondering if we'd get booted out of USA and into Winter Weather in another month or so, and that solves that. Many thanks for the great job of keeping we Houstonians up on current weather events.

In fact, I think it's such a great idea I'd love to see threads for other cities pop up on the board. Any takers?

Thank you , and hopefully this thread will last for quite awhile. I am just glad that instead of having to navigate through 2-3 threads over the same topic, we can go to just this one and have a better discussion with the most up to date information. It should make the winter season ahead a much better one for Houstonians here on S2K.

I also agree that other cities should join in too...especially those with a large S2K population. It would radically cut down on the number of new threads being created, and would make finding the most up to date information a breeze.

[KatDaddy]

Sounds great to me.

[Yankeegirl]

Bring back the cooler weather, I liked that much better!!! I want fall back!!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

Bring back the cooler weather, I liked that much better!!! I want fall back!!!

don't worry. After this hot week ahead, fall should return next week.

Check out the latest 18Z GFS:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _240.shtml
^^Oct. 11th...CF makes it through our area^^

And then beyond this front, an overall cooler period should take over again.

[Yankeegirl]

I hope so.... This hot and then cool weather is making me sick!!