SE TX/SW LA Discussion Thread - Mid 80's and sunny this week
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Wow! The winds just kicked in at League City. Just got a gust to 27MPH.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Yankeegirl
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Extremeweatherguy
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funny as how they pick up there, they calm down here. We have gone from very gusty (40-45mph) just twenty minutes ago down to probably 20-25mph gusts right now. Seems like these winds are coming in random bursts.KatDaddy wrote:Wow! The winds just kicked in at League City. Just got a gust to 27MPH.
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Yankeegirl
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Just posted...
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1006 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-250715-
HOUSTON-TRINITY-MADISON-WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-BURLESON-BRAZOS-
WASHINGTON-GRIMES-MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-
HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROCKETT...TRINITY...GROVETON...
MADISONVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...LIVINGSTON...
CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CALDWELL...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...BRENHAM...NAVASOTA...THE WOODLANDS...
CONROE...WILLIS...LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...
EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...
PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...
HUMBLE...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...
PIERCE...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...
EDNA...BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...
GALVESTON
1006 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007
...STRONG WINDS AFFECTING PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
STRONG WINDS ALOFT ARE OCCASIONALLY MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS
WEAK SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT AND DECREASE TOWARD
SUNRISE. WIND GUSTS COULD BRIEFLY EXCEED 40 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS TOWARD MORNING. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS COULD
EXCEED 50 MPH.
Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1006 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-250715-
HOUSTON-TRINITY-MADISON-WALKER-SAN JACINTO-POLK-BURLESON-BRAZOS-
WASHINGTON-GRIMES-MONTGOMERY-LIBERTY-COLORADO-AUSTIN-WALLER-
HARRIS-CHAMBERS-WHARTON-FORT BEND-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-BRAZORIA-
GALVESTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROCKETT...TRINITY...GROVETON...
MADISONVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...SHEPHERD...COLDSPRING...LIVINGSTON...
CORRIGAN...ONALASKA...CALDWELL...LAKE SOMERVILLE...
COLLEGE STATION...BRYAN...BRENHAM...NAVASOTA...THE WOODLANDS...
CONROE...WILLIS...LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...COLUMBUS...
EAGLE LAKE...WEIMAR...SEALY...BELLVILLE...HEMPSTEAD...
PRAIRIE VIEW...BROOKSHIRE...HOUSTON...PASADENA...KATY...TOMBALL...
HUMBLE...WINNIE...MONT BELVIEU...ANAHUAC...EL CAMPO...WHARTON...
PIERCE...SUGAR LAND...MISSOURI CITY...RICHMOND...ROSENBERG...
EDNA...BAY CITY...PALACIOS...PEARLAND...LAKE JACKSON...ALVIN...
ANGLETON...FREEPORT...LEAGUE CITY...TEXAS CITY...FRIENDSWOOD...
GALVESTON
1006 PM CDT TUE APR 24 2007
...STRONG WINDS AFFECTING PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
STRONG WINDS ALOFT ARE OCCASIONALLY MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS
WEAK SHOWERS MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
AVERAGE BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT AND DECREASE TOWARD
SUNRISE. WIND GUSTS COULD BRIEFLY EXCEED 40 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL CROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS TOWARD MORNING. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS COULD
EXCEED 50 MPH.
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Extremeweatherguy
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Yankeegirl
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Yankeegirl
- Category 5
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Yankeegirl
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TexasSam
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- Location: Port Arthur, Texas
Yankeegirl wrote:Hey, can anyone breakdown the Z time... like 3z? I cant remember how to time those... thanks!!
This link should help:
http://www.time.gov/timezone.cgi?UTC/s/0/java
If I remember right Z-time, GMT time, and UTC time are all the same international time.
Last edited by TexasSam on Tue Apr 24, 2007 10:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Yankeegirl
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This is from KHOU...
At midnight a Flash Flood Watch will be issued for the northern two thirds of Southeast Texas and last until 10 a.m. Wednesday.
The order will include metro Houston but not Galveston or coastal counties.
It also includes the following counties: Austin, Brazos Burleson, Colorado, Fort Bend, Grimes, Harris, Houston, Liberty Madison, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker, Waller, Washington and Wharton.
In fact, reports indicate that 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated 5 to 7 inches are possible.
Strong storms and heavy rain will move through the Houston area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
That system is currently pounding the Dallas area.
"There have been multiple tornado sightings out there," said 11 News meteorologist Mario Gomez. "There have also been gusty winds and small hail reported."
Also online
11 News Weather Center
So far, our area has been experiencing good weather, but all that changes when the Flood Watch goes into effect at midnight.
"It begins around the Wharton, Fort Bend, Harris and the Liberty County area. Anything north and west of that line you could see some flash flooding," said Gomez.
Most of the rain Tuesday is going to be light.
"When the front does move into our area there is a possibility of gusty winds, hail and possible flooding," said Gomez.
A Flash Flood Watch means rapidly rising water or flooding is possible within the watch area.
If you are in the watch area check preparedness requirements, stay informed and be ready for quick action.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of floods and flash floods.
At midnight a Flash Flood Watch will be issued for the northern two thirds of Southeast Texas and last until 10 a.m. Wednesday.
The order will include metro Houston but not Galveston or coastal counties.
It also includes the following counties: Austin, Brazos Burleson, Colorado, Fort Bend, Grimes, Harris, Houston, Liberty Madison, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker, Waller, Washington and Wharton.
In fact, reports indicate that 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated 5 to 7 inches are possible.
Strong storms and heavy rain will move through the Houston area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
That system is currently pounding the Dallas area.
"There have been multiple tornado sightings out there," said 11 News meteorologist Mario Gomez. "There have also been gusty winds and small hail reported."
Also online
11 News Weather Center
So far, our area has been experiencing good weather, but all that changes when the Flood Watch goes into effect at midnight.
"It begins around the Wharton, Fort Bend, Harris and the Liberty County area. Anything north and west of that line you could see some flash flooding," said Gomez.
Most of the rain Tuesday is going to be light.
"When the front does move into our area there is a possibility of gusty winds, hail and possible flooding," said Gomez.
A Flash Flood Watch means rapidly rising water or flooding is possible within the watch area.
If you are in the watch area check preparedness requirements, stay informed and be ready for quick action.
Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the dangers of floods and flash floods.
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Yankeegirl wrote:Like here for example... valid from 3z to 12z....
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/
Cool link. You can see risk issued back to 2004. I checked out the day Katrina made landfall. It had some high percentage for thunderstorms, as high as 70% for thunderstorms. 40% covers a large area.
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Yankeegirl
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Yankeegirl
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TexasSam
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- Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 12:16 am
- Location: Port Arthur, Texas
I just had fun running down the plastic lawn chairs... I also had to take down the wind chimes, while the dogs around were all barking. it sounded like a bad horror movie. The neighbors little lawn tent thing was jumping up and down, making interesting crashing sounds. I doubt that thing will make it through the night. The low clouds are screaming across the sky. I can see the sky here because the Exxon plant puts out a lot of light.
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Yankeegirl
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ncupsscweather
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srainhoutx
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0577
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 AM CDT WED APR 25 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...TX HILL COUNTRY EWD TO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX
COAST
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 183...
VALID 250614Z - 250745Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 183 CONTINUES.
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE
TORNADOES IS FORECAST TO SPREAD EWD THROUGH ERN PORTIONS OF WW 183
THROUGH 07-08Z...PRIOR TO MOVING E OF WW AREA. CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL...DOWNSTREAM WW.
AS OF 06Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A RELATIVELY INTENSE
MCS FROM JUST E OF SAT TO NEAR COT...THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF
WHICH WAS SITUATED OVER COMAL...GUADALUPE...AND WILSON COUNTIES WITH
A GENERAL MOTION OF 265/40-45 KT. AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS REMAINS
QUITE MOIST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND 70 F...WHICH
COUPLED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WERE CONTRIBUTING TO
MLCAPES OF AROUND 2000 J/KG. WHILE 25/00Z CRP OBSERVED SOUNDING
INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG CAP AROUND 850 MB...THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG ASCENT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF SYSTEM COLD POOL
AND LARGER-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER TROUGH OVER
WRN TX ARE LIKELY ERODING THIS CAP.
AS SUCH...EXPECT ONGOING MCS TO LIKELY CONTINUE THIS MORNING EWD
TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX COAST. RELATIVELY STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR OBSERVED ON LOCAL PROFILERS AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN AN ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.
..MEAD.. 04/25/2007
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 AM CDT WED APR 25 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...TX HILL COUNTRY EWD TO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX
COAST
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 183...
VALID 250614Z - 250745Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 183 CONTINUES.
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE
TORNADOES IS FORECAST TO SPREAD EWD THROUGH ERN PORTIONS OF WW 183
THROUGH 07-08Z...PRIOR TO MOVING E OF WW AREA. CONVECTIVE TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL...DOWNSTREAM WW.
AS OF 06Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A RELATIVELY INTENSE
MCS FROM JUST E OF SAT TO NEAR COT...THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF
WHICH WAS SITUATED OVER COMAL...GUADALUPE...AND WILSON COUNTIES WITH
A GENERAL MOTION OF 265/40-45 KT. AMBIENT INFLOW AIR MASS REMAINS
QUITE MOIST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND 70 F...WHICH
COUPLED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WERE CONTRIBUTING TO
MLCAPES OF AROUND 2000 J/KG. WHILE 25/00Z CRP OBSERVED SOUNDING
INDICATED THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG CAP AROUND 850 MB...THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG ASCENT ALONG LEADING EDGE OF SYSTEM COLD POOL
AND LARGER-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER TROUGH OVER
WRN TX ARE LIKELY ERODING THIS CAP.
AS SUCH...EXPECT ONGOING MCS TO LIKELY CONTINUE THIS MORNING EWD
TOWARD THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TX COAST. RELATIVELY STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR OBSERVED ON LOCAL PROFILERS AND RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN AN ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO.
..MEAD.. 04/25/2007
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...
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