Accu-weather 2007 Hurricane Forecast
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Accu-weather 2007 Hurricane Forecast
This just came out today on the free site.
Looks like a big year for Florida activity.
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/pressroom.asp?pr=wx_262.htm
Looks like a big year for Florida activity.
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/pressroom.asp?pr=wx_262.htm
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Intrestingly the numbers aren't as high as some of the other forecasts, though obviously numbers won't matter if any of those majors find themsleves making landfall, sounds a little like 2004.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- SWFLA_CANE
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- johngaltfla
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I was listening to a forecaster who shall remain nameless and she forecast an active GoM this year. Her primary focus is long range forecasting for insurance companies and businesses. If the cards all come together, we could be in for a very long summer and fall. Let's hope that everyone learned some lessons from 04 & 05 and actually prepare for the storms this time.
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- AL Chili Pepper
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fact789 wrote:There goes gas prices soaring past $4/gal! I dont think it will stay under $4 for long.
Not to mention homeowner's insurance. A lot of the companies are trying to pull out of the Gulf Coastal regions, and most of the others are increasing their rates dramatically. Here's hoping to an inactive season!
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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- seaswing
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Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:I would have to agree with Bastardi on the idea of a severe season
(one with several major hurricanes).
Sea Surface Temperatures are above normal
Pressures Below Normal
And Shear Below Normal
These factors equal a bad hurricane season
I have to agree with this statement. Last year it was the year of the shear, this year, I don't think we will be that lucky. I do think it will be active for Florida and whether the storms hit Florida and move on to other states, well who knows but IMHO, I do think it might be similar to 2004..... OF COURSE, THIS IS JUST MY OPINION AND NOT A FORECAST.
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at least JB didn't mention Texas.... which as I think about it could be a bad thing....
I have a seminar schedule for May 22, here in Houston with Impact Weather. They do independant forecasting for private companies mostly oil and gas. Will be interesting to hear what they have to say about this year..... I will pass it on.......

I have a seminar schedule for May 22, here in Houston with Impact Weather. They do independant forecasting for private companies mostly oil and gas. Will be interesting to hear what they have to say about this year..... I will pass it on.......
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>>at least JB didn't mention Texas.... which as I think about it could be a bad thing....
Apparently they said it was twice as likely as a normal year to see activity per the WWLTV story on CSU & Bastardi.
I remember JB discussing an alternating 3 year cycle we've been in for a while (at least since 2002) where the seasons want to alternate little US impact, FL & east coast, gulf years. They could be somewhat onto something if the activity threatens Florida primarily (as 2004's season did). I think the idea of a bullseye on FL with some northerly and westerly compontents (obviously) makes sense from the limited amount of stuff I've read this year. I'm not making a value judgment on their forecast (or anyone's) until after the season, if ever.
Here's the WWL tv link:
http://www.wwltv.com/local/stories/wwl0 ... 19148.html
Although Bastardi predicts fewer storms than his counterparts, he agreed 2007 would be more active than usual. Bastardi, who said the nation is in "a very, very volatile" weather period, said he expects 13 or 14 named storms, with the Texas Gulf coast having twice the average likelihood of a storm making landfall and Florida appearing four times as likely.
Steve
Apparently they said it was twice as likely as a normal year to see activity per the WWLTV story on CSU & Bastardi.
I remember JB discussing an alternating 3 year cycle we've been in for a while (at least since 2002) where the seasons want to alternate little US impact, FL & east coast, gulf years. They could be somewhat onto something if the activity threatens Florida primarily (as 2004's season did). I think the idea of a bullseye on FL with some northerly and westerly compontents (obviously) makes sense from the limited amount of stuff I've read this year. I'm not making a value judgment on their forecast (or anyone's) until after the season, if ever.
Here's the WWL tv link:
http://www.wwltv.com/local/stories/wwl0 ... 19148.html
Although Bastardi predicts fewer storms than his counterparts, he agreed 2007 would be more active than usual. Bastardi, who said the nation is in "a very, very volatile" weather period, said he expects 13 or 14 named storms, with the Texas Gulf coast having twice the average likelihood of a storm making landfall and Florida appearing four times as likely.
Steve
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- Extremeweatherguy
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lol. Yeah, I was thinking that too. Last year he called for at least one Cat. 2+ to hit Texas (and I believed him too)...it never happened. So I guess this year, when he doesn't mention Texas, that means we need to be on high alert for a possible storm.ROCK wrote:at least JB didn't mention Texas.... which as I think about it could be a bad thing.... :D
I have a seminar schedule for May 22, here in Houston with Impact Weather. They do independant forecasting for private companies mostly oil and gas. Will be interesting to hear what they have to say about this year..... I will pass it on.......
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