Wave in Caribbean Sea

[wxman57]

Just a weak tropical wave passing the region. We've followed that wave since it was over Africa about 8-9 days ago. It's moving into the East Pac.

[alan1961]

the links on s2k didn't work for some reason???

try this route:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html" target="_blank

I didn't use the links on s2k southern, i used the ssd noaa site but it was down there too, nevermind, the loops are up to date and working now

[kozzieman]

TWC has been saying all morning this morning that there's a possibility of some much needed tropical rain developing in the south central GOM region early next week and possibly providing more drought relief to the central GOM region. TWC on air MET kept saying this morning tropical rains; he also kept saying that the models seem to indicate that something might develop early next week and bring much needed tropical rains into the central GOM region. Is there anything to what TWC MET is saying? Anything that might develop into a TD or TS or is it just a mass of tropical showers that might develop?

[cpdaman]

I saw the tropical update at 550 and they were talking about the wave in the southeast caribean drawing northward not the thing near puerto rico.

eithery way they obviously inferred it bears watching and models are hinting at development this weekend

[alan1961]

The area down off the Nicaraguan coast is looking interesting, the blow up from last night looked like it was going straight through central America, some of it did but some of it as stayed there and is flareing up..looks interesting

[DESTRUCTION5]

Nice little Northly Jog this morning...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... cjava.html

[boca]

Nice little Northly Jog this morning...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... cjava.html" target="_blank" target="_blank" target="_blank

Actually their is a low over Niguargua moving inland so I don;t expect that convection to persist.Lets see if its their tomorrow.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html

[windstorm99]

Interesting area of convection in the sw caribbean which looks to be drifting north right now.

The GFSx has this area moving north into south florida..

[boca]

I wonder if that low over Jacksonville is pulling that moisture in the SW Caribbean poleward.

[NDG]

Interesting area of convection in the sw caribbean which looks to be drifting north right now.

The GFSx has this area moving north into south florida..

I don't see that happening, it shows it going into TX & LA, ridge building around the Carolinas should keep whatever comes out of this to the west of FL.

[windstorm99]

Where ever it goes this area is climatology favored at this time of the year and if anything were to get going this would be the spot to watch.Persistence is key though and if its still there later this evening we might have something to watch.Adrian

[flwxwatcher]

Interesting area of convection in the sw caribbean which looks to be drifting north right now.

The GFSx has this area moving north into south florida..

I don't see that happening, it shows it going into TX & LA, ridge building around the Carolinas should keep whatever comes out of this to the west of FL.

Agreed... I had to watch that loop several times then look at the timeline:):) but it appears that the GFSx does take that SW Caribbean wave into East Texas/West LA and its a different wave that it shows affecting South Florida next week:):):)

[windstorm99]

Form the NHC 8:05

A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS
IN THE SW CARIBBEAN OVER COSTA RICA GENERATING
SCATTERED/MODERATE STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA FROM
11N-16W W OF 78W TO INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
LINE FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W TO 11N81W.

[boca]

Looking at the visible satelite the whole system is moving west into Central America I had to look at different pics to see that it was hard but you can tell from this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html

[windstorm99]

Convection continues to pop...

[dixiebreeze]

looking very good this afternoon:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/rb-l.jpg

[punkyg]

So tell me where the low is at?

[Cyclone1]

So tell me where the low is at?

Oh, c'mon you can't see it? It's right eh... err... It's right.... wait where is it?

[punkyg]

So tell me where the low is at?

Oh, c'mon you can't see it? It's right eh... err... It's right.... wait where is it?

Ha! you can't find it. so lets find it together

[alan1961]

Looking at the visible satelite the whole system is moving west into Central America I had to look at different pics to see that it was hard but you can tell from this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html" target="_blank

I wouldn't be so sure about it sliding into Central America Boca, on the last loop it looks like it could get dragged north west.