Wave in Caribbean Sea

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wxman57
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#61 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jun 20, 2007 2:51 pm

Just a weak tropical wave passing the region. We've followed that wave since it was over Africa about 8-9 days ago. It's moving into the East Pac.
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#62 Postby alan1961 » Wed Jun 20, 2007 2:58 pm

southerngreen wrote:the links on s2k didn't work for some reason???

try this route:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html" target="_blank

I didn't use the links on s2k southern, i used the ssd noaa site but it was down there too, nevermind, the loops are up to date and working now :wink:
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Re: Wave in Caribbean Sea

#63 Postby kozzieman » Thu Jun 21, 2007 4:36 am

TWC has been saying all morning this morning that there's a possibility of some much needed tropical rain developing in the south central GOM region early next week and possibly providing more drought relief to the central GOM region. TWC on air MET kept saying this morning tropical rains; he also kept saying that the models seem to indicate that something might develop early next week and bring much needed tropical rains into the central GOM region. Is there anything to what TWC MET is saying? Anything that might develop into a TD or TS or is it just a mass of tropical showers that might develop?
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Re: Wave in Caribbean Sea

#64 Postby cpdaman » Thu Jun 21, 2007 5:12 am

I saw the tropical update at 550 and they were talking about the wave in the southeast caribean drawing northward not the thing near puerto rico.

eithery way they obviously inferred it bears watching and models are hinting at development this weekend
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Re: Wave in Caribbean Sea

#65 Postby alan1961 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 5:36 am

The area down off the Nicaraguan coast is looking interesting, the blow up from last night looked like it was going straight through central America, some of it did but some of it as stayed there and is flareing up..looks interesting :wink:
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#66 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 8:28 am

Nice little Northly Jog this morning...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... cjava.html
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#67 Postby boca » Thu Jun 21, 2007 8:33 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Nice little Northly Jog this morning...

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... cjava.html" target="_blank" target="_blank" target="_blank


Actually their is a low over Niguargua moving inland so I don;t expect that convection to persist.Lets see if its their tomorrow.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html
Last edited by boca on Thu Jun 21, 2007 8:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#68 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 8:34 am

Interesting area of convection in the sw caribbean which looks to be drifting north right now.

The GFSx has this area moving north into south florida..

Image
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#69 Postby boca » Thu Jun 21, 2007 8:36 am

I wonder if that low over Jacksonville is pulling that moisture in the SW Caribbean poleward.
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#70 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 21, 2007 8:57 am

windstorm99 wrote:Interesting area of convection in the sw caribbean which looks to be drifting north right now.

The GFSx has this area moving north into south florida..


I don't see that happening, it shows it going into TX & LA, ridge building around the Carolinas should keep whatever comes out of this to the west of FL.
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#71 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 9:01 am

Where ever it goes this area is climatology favored at this time of the year and if anything were to get going this would be the spot to watch.Persistence is key though and if its still there later this evening we might have something to watch.Adrian
Last edited by windstorm99 on Thu Jun 21, 2007 9:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#72 Postby flwxwatcher » Thu Jun 21, 2007 9:05 am

NDG wrote:
windstorm99 wrote:Interesting area of convection in the sw caribbean which looks to be drifting north right now.

The GFSx has this area moving north into south florida..


I don't see that happening, it shows it going into TX & LA, ridge building around the Carolinas should keep whatever comes out of this to the west of FL.


Agreed... I had to watch that loop several times then look at the timeline:):) but it appears that the GFSx does take that SW Caribbean wave into East Texas/West LA and its a different wave that it shows affecting South Florida next week:):):)
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#73 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 9:09 am

Form the NHC 8:05

A 1009 MB SURFACE LOW IS
IN THE SW CARIBBEAN OVER COSTA RICA GENERATING
SCATTERED/MODERATE STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA FROM
11N-16W W OF 78W TO INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND WITHIN 60 NM OF
LINE FROM COLOMBIA NEAR 9N76W TO 11N81W.
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#74 Postby boca » Thu Jun 21, 2007 9:25 am

Looking at the visible satelite the whole system is moving west into Central America I had to look at different pics to see that it was hard but you can tell from this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#75 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 10:26 am

Convection continues to pop...
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Re: S.W Caribbean?

#76 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 21, 2007 10:45 am

looking very good this afternoon:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/rb-l.jpg
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#77 Postby punkyg » Thu Jun 21, 2007 10:47 am

So tell me where the low is at?
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Re:

#78 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 10:58 am

punkyg wrote:So tell me where the low is at?


Oh, c'mon you can't see it? It's right eh... err... It's right.... wait where is it?
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Re: Re:

#79 Postby punkyg » Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:08 am

Cyclone1 wrote:
punkyg wrote:So tell me where the low is at?


Oh, c'mon you can't see it? It's right eh... err... It's right.... wait where is it?

Ha! you can't find it. so lets find it together :P
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Re:

#80 Postby alan1961 » Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:15 am

boca wrote:Looking at the visible satelite the whole system is moving west into Central America I had to look at different pics to see that it was hard but you can tell from this.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html" target="_blank

I wouldn't be so sure about it sliding into Central America Boca, on the last loop it looks like it could get dragged north west.
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