boca wrote:Since the ULL is in the Bahamas will that deflect the wave to move more poleward or northerly or punch right thru that upper level low? I bring this up because the flow around the eastern side of that ULL is southerly? Also the ULL is stationary.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html" target="_blank" target="_blank" target="_blank
From NWS Miami Disc
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW SHOULD WEAKEN THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE SLOWLY
DRIFTING SOUTH. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE HIGH OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO TO MOVE EAST INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR THE STEERING FLOW TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY LATE TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY.
AT THE SAME TIME...THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR PUERTO RICO WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION AND MOVE INTO
SOUTH FLORIDA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL HELP TO
INCREASE THE TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE CWA ON TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. THE MODELS ARE ALSO SHOWING THE PWAT TO BE AROUND 2
INCHES BY WEDNESDAY OVER THE CWA.