Ex Invest 95L

[Trader Ron]

Sunny and beautiful in Naples.

[Aquawind]

Sunny and beautiful in Naples.

LOL.. Exactly.. and so much for the rain forecasted as well..nuttin here in Bonita.. Smoke and Fire is all..

[cycloneye]

NHC did amend their POD, but chances of development still look slim. Location is presently about 30 miles south of Lake Okeechobee. Pressures are relatively high there and shear is currently strong.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 29 JUN 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-037 AMENDMENT

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
NEAR 29.0N 79.0W AT 01/1800Z.....ADDED

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
JWP

57,I posted the same thing as you did,but I didn't saw it as it changed to the next page so I deleited my post.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Please develop into a depression and give
florida heavy rains whohoooo!!!!!

GO 95L it's your birthday we're gonna
party like it's your birthday!!!!

Become TD 3 and bring me some good
rain!!!!!!!!!!! YESSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!


NOTHING BETTER THAN AN INVEST TO START
OUT FRIDAY MORNING YEEEEEHHHHAAAAAAAAAAAAW!!!!!!

I'm rooting for a depression because we need
the rain in florida!!!!!!

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF

NICE BLOB!!!

['CaneFreak]

So what, your saying an extratropical low cant bring a lot of rain?

[Trader Ron]

All the precip is offshore. Lets hope it moves over the mainland.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

So what, your saying an extratropical low cant bring a lot of rain?

Sure it can...but a tropical depression has it more
concentrated...95L looks very nice with the
rain

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

And besides a 25 mph breeze would be pretty
nice on a hot humid day...so bring
on tropical depression 3
YEEEEHAWWW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[wzrgirl1]

and still no rain here where i live.....we have had 80 percent chances all week....I guess the 20 percent won out....what a bummer

[Windtalker2]

Here in Davie (west of Ft Lauderdale) from 1am to 6am we had alot of Rain & lightning. Pool water level rose a good 3" and power was out from 1:45am to 6:15am....was a rough night sleeping, especially when it started getting hot due to no A/C...LOL.

[fci]

So, The Everglades is providing the breeding ground for the low if it is initialized 30 miles south of the lake.
That's the uniqueness of the Florida landmass where storms can develop over land due to the shallowness of the land and water present. Katrina lost no strength at all (might actually have intensified) when she crossed the Everglades and Wilma maintained all of her punch as she crossed. It is strange when a storm can develop over land!

With the convection well east of the center; over the Atlantic Waters; the rain hope for South Florida is the instability and the heating that is going on now with the sun out. Look for some good Thunderstorms this afternoon and hopefully for the weekend (according to the NWS discussion)

[cpdaman]

duh i just realized it was centered at 80.7 west which is inland about 30 miles or so

well the florida coast does slope to the nnw as you gain latitude so a north north east movement will bring it over water if that is the way it is moving

[SkeetoBite]

[SouthFloridawx]

I do notice a very broad low level circulation, nothing defined and it has a few swirling vortex's. I think we'll get a more clear picture this afternoon due to the radiant rising war air colliding with the circulation. Should make for an interesting afternoon for weather in Florida.

Also this area should remain over land or very close to it due to very week steering currents.

Let's not forget that the upper level disturbance isn't going to direct this thing anywhere, just the convection.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html

[artist]

the center according to the models is just due west of Coral Springs

edited to add to

[Meso]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291511
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT FRI JUN 29 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND PROXIMITY
TO LAND. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD NEAR OR
OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND IT COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[SouthFloridawx]

the center according the models is just due west of Coral Springs

Run the animation and you'll see what I'm talking about...

Looks like an area just to the NW W of Okeech.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html" target="_blank

[Eyewall]

I'd say theres gonna be alot of heavy rain over central FL today

[artist]

thanks for the map skeetobite!
It shows the initialization of the models for us!