wxman57 wrote:One final note before I head out. Look at the latest satellite. The LLC is clearly moving well north of due west, possibly separating from the convection which is now SW of the center. Question is, will another center form farther southwest today? If so, then that NHC track (and CONU) may not be far off. And as I look more closely at that image, there may be evidence of 2 other vortices. One located about a degree west and a little north of the one I pointed out, and one south of 10N near 9.8N/42.5W. The one out front may be what I was tracking last evening.
Hi WxMan57,
I suspect that the models are picking up the same thing and that is why the last model run and shifted southward. If this is accurate then it means that the systems stays over warmer waters with a better chance to develop and could become a real threat for the southern Windward Islands next week.
Geordie in NCL