when and where will Chantal form?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5328
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

#41 Postby Nimbus » Tue Jun 05, 2007 7:28 pm

July 8th in the Caribbean, Barry got a lucky break from the shear.
0 likes   

User avatar
windstorm99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1578
Age: 47
Joined: Sat May 26, 2007 8:10 am
Location: Miami, Florida
Contact:

#42 Postby windstorm99 » Tue Jun 05, 2007 7:31 pm

Barry was an odd storm indeed as it developed under unfavorable upper level winds.We needed the rain though. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5328
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#43 Postby Nimbus » Sun Jun 17, 2007 7:32 pm

The environment is becoming more favorable every day but I still think we will only see a TD at most in June.
0 likes   

User avatar
windstorm99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1578
Age: 47
Joined: Sat May 26, 2007 8:10 am
Location: Miami, Florida
Contact:

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#44 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Jun 17, 2007 7:58 pm

The entire atlantic is under the unfavorable phase of the MJO...I think developement will wait atleast to the first couple of weeks of july.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
sunnyday
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1590
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 8:16 pm

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#45 Postby sunnyday » Sun Jun 17, 2007 8:12 pm

It won't form this year. This will be such a quiet year that no serious storms will form. In my dreams.... 8-)
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#46 Postby HurricaneBill » Mon Jun 18, 2007 9:54 pm

In the Atlantic Ocean and before Dean forms. :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicana
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8056
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:48 pm
Location: Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
Contact:

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#47 Postby tropicana » Thu Jul 12, 2007 12:18 pm

Of all the people who voted prior to June 18..here is the summary of the results and who is still in the offing for winning a grand all expense paid trip to Aruba:- :lol:

WHO HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED SO FAR

Tampa Bay Hurricane, Tampa Bay FL Sometime in June XXX
Vortex, Fort Lauderdale FL mid-June XXX
Cycloneye, San Juan PR June 29 XXX
OpalStorm, Gulf Breeze FL June 26 XXX
Fact, St Petes FL June 21-26 XXX
Matt, Portland OR June 10-12 XXX
xyno, Hallandale FL June 24 XXX
skysummit, Houma LA June 15-21 XXX
HurricaneHunter, Houston TX June 15-25 XXX
ExtremeWeatherGuy, Merrit Is FL mid-June XXX
Canetracker, New Orleans LA mid June XXX
wzgirl1, Pembroke Pines FL June 16 XXX
Nimbus, Location unknown July 8 XXX
MusicCityMan, C. Florida July 4 XXX
Andrew92, Grand Rapids MI July 1-7 XXX
Mobal, Mobile AL late June/early July XXX
Windtalker1, Davie FL June 9 XXX
AnnularCane, Abita Springs LA July 1-7 XXX
Cyclenall, WIndsor ON June 7-13 XXX
Crazy 83, location unknown June 28 XXX
Punkyg, Sanford FL June 29 XXX
Swimdude, Houston TX late June/early July XXX
vbhoutex, Houston TX June 20 XXX
LSU2001, Cut Off LA June 29 XXX

[b]STILL IN THE RUNNING

[b]Tropicana, Toronto ON (moi) July 13 ( will be wiped out by tomorrow)
Ivanhater, Pensacola FL sometime in July
Sunnyday, Location unknown none at all
Hurricane Bill, Massachusetts Before Dean ( SURE TO WIN)

-justin-
Last edited by tropicana on Thu Jul 12, 2007 2:14 pm, edited 5 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
punkyg
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 770
Joined: Mon Apr 23, 2007 7:37 pm
Location: sanford florida

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#48 Postby punkyg » Thu Jul 12, 2007 12:27 pm

tropicana wrote:Of all the people who voted prior to June 18..here is the summary of the results and who is still in the offing for winning a grand all expense paid trip to Aruba:- :lol:

WHO HAVE BEEN ELIMINATED SO FAR

Tampa Bay Hurricane, Tampa Bay FL Sometime in July XXX
Vortex, Fort Lauderdale FL mid-June XXX
Cycloneye, San Juan PR June 29 XXX
OpalStorm, Gulf Breeze FL June 26 XXX
Fact, St Petes FL June 21-26 XXX
Matt, Portland OR June 10-12 XXX
xyno, Hallandale FL June 24 XXX
skysummit, Houma LA June 15-21 XXX
HurricaneHunter, Hosuton TX June 15-25 XXX
ExtremeWeatherGuy, Merrit Is FL mid-June XXX
Cantreacker, New Orelans mid June XXX
wzgirl1, Pembroke Pines FL June 16 XXX
Nimbus, Location unknown July 8 XXX
MusicCityMan, C. Florida July 4 XXX
Andrew92, Grand Rapids MI July 1-7 XXX
Mobal, Mobile AL late June/early July XXX
Windtalker1, Davie FL June 9 XXX
AnnularCane, Abita Springs FL July 1-7 XXX
Cyclenall, WIndsor ON June 7-13 XXX
Crazy 83, location unknown June 28 XXX
Punky9, Sanfrod FL June 29 XXX
Swimdude, Houston TX late June/early July XXX
vbhoutex, Houston TX June 20 XXX
LSU2001, Cut Off LA June 29 XXX

[b]STILL IN THE RUNNING

[b]Tropicana, Toronto ON (moi) July 13 ( will be wiped out by tomorrow)
Ivanhater, Pensacola FL sometime in July
Sunnyday, Location unknown none at all
Hurricane Bill, Massachusetts Before Dean ( SURE TO WIN)

-justin-
Yo! you messed my name up!
I clearly said chantel will form on july 300 :P
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#49 Postby Frank2 » Thu Jul 12, 2007 12:51 pm

...in the tropics, perhaps later this year...
0 likes   

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2872
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#50 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Jul 12, 2007 2:02 pm

All losers get a cruise in the Western Caribbean in October. :lol:

Oh wait, that includes me. Never mind.

By the way, I live in LA, not FL.
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#51 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Jul 12, 2007 2:29 pm

I really think a storm will form between the 16th and 23rd(next week) off the Carolinas..That area looks ready to produce a storm.
0 likes   

User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:

#52 Postby storms in NC » Thu Jul 12, 2007 5:29 pm

I think she will around the 15th -18th of July off Fla and Ga. JMO

Deb
0 likes   

Cyclone1
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2739
Age: 33
Joined: Tue Jun 12, 2007 12:03 pm
Location: Florida

#53 Postby Cyclone1 » Thu Jul 12, 2007 5:32 pm

My bet, next week, Bahamas.
0 likes   

cpdaman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3131
Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:44 am
Location: SPB county (gulf stream)

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#54 Postby cpdaman » Thu Jul 12, 2007 7:21 pm

windstorm you say the entire atlantic is under unfavorable mjo conditions, and forecasters are calling for neutral to late weak la nina this season, but wouldn't the pacific have been more active recently according to the MJO logic
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicana
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8056
Joined: Sat Sep 27, 2003 6:48 pm
Location: Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada
Contact:

Re: when and where will Chantal form?

#55 Postby tropicana » Fri Aug 03, 2007 8:55 am

The winners are..
IVANHATER from Pensacola who said ..sometime in July...

and

HURRICANEBILL from Massachusetts who said ... before DEAN

hahaha
ok the last one is cheating and the first one is vague,,, but those are the 2 winners.

for the record, CHANTAL was formed on July 31 and announced as a storm around 815amET on that day.

-justin-
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9623
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

#56 Postby Steve » Fri Aug 03, 2007 9:28 am

I'm going to have to go ahead and predict that it's going to form in the NW Atlantic a couple hundred miles east of the East Coast of the US and A and will possibly brush the Canadian maritimes as a subtropical or cold-core low.

How'd I do?

Steve
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 25 guests