windstorm99 wrote:philnyc wrote:windstorm99 wrote:Wave looks desent but its moving into subsidence from the MJO which might make keep it from getting better organized.Shear is not to bad around 15-20kts in the area.
Don't worry too much about the MJO. The pros are still not sure exactly how much effect it has. Obviously it should always be considered, but when the majority of other factors are favorable, its influence can be negligible.
Its also got some significant amount of dry air to its north.
That is upper level, at mid level is over 50% in RH around the whole area, but yes it is pretty dry above that.