Invest 99L in Central Atlantic

Kennethb · #441 Postby **Kennethb** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:00 am

This system still has to pass through the death corridor of storm in the east Carribean, not to mention possibly the Dominican Republic. No need to get overworked just yet.

#442 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:00 am

Yeah folks just had some more looks at this invest.

Nice spin, good moisture, and notice how it is pulling away from the ITCZ.......ULL winds becoming very favorable, no SAL and a clear path of extremely warm waters through the Caribbean...with no TUTT low to worry about....

I am 100% sure this is the real thing...soo get ready.

Cyclone1 · #443 Postby **Cyclone1** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:01 am

WOW! I did not expect to see this when I woke up! I am amazed! It looks great!

hurricanefloyd5 · #444 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:01 am

Dose anyone have the NAVY site on hand??????

Weatherfreak14 · #445 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:02 am

I said last night this could pssibly be our next be storm.

punkyg · #446 Postby **punkyg** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:02 am

Can some one point out the possible coc for this system.

punkyg · #447 Postby **punkyg** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:04 am

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:Dose anyone have the NAVY site on hand??????

here you go

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?

#448 Postby **drezee** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:05 am

This is a rat race, but I believe 98L will be classifed first later today..then 99L. So I believe this will be the D storm is named

punkyg · #449 Postby **punkyg** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:07 am

drezee wrote:This is a rat race, but I believe 98L will be classifed first later today..then 99L. So I believe this will be the D storm is named

This will be the C storm and 98L will be the D storm

hurricanefloyd5 · #450 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:08 am

punkyg wrote:
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:Dose anyone have the NAVY site on hand??????

here you go

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?

tyvm for that

#451 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:09 am

punkyg wrote:Can some one point out the possible coc for this system.

We don't know that their is one, but position set by NRL is 9.7 N 45.7 W 1010mb

Cyclone1 · #452 Postby **Cyclone1** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:10 am

For the first time, we have two potential depressions on our hands at the same time. I laugh at the season cancelers. Muhuhaha, and such...

Frank2 · #453 Postby **Frank2** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:11 am

It appears that the cluster of thunderstorms is moving ahead of any rotation to it's east, so, any excitement over 99 may be premature...

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m8vis.html

As far as 98 is concerned, as TWC mentioned earlier, it now appears to be more of a frontal system than anything else, so, it's unlikely that'll be made a depression...

#454 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:11 am

I think there is a 90% chance NHC will mention it in their next TWO......

#455 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:13 am

Frank2 wrote:It appears that the cluster of thunderstorms is moving ahead of any rotation to it's east, so, any excitement may be premature...

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ ... m8vis.html

Frank as much as we would like to think that this season's time is running out....I think we've got a little problem on our hands with this one...I would be floored if this thing goes poof at this point......and unfortunately it doesn't look like it will be going fishing....

Now we all wish that EC trough setup waited until August...rather than using our get out of jail free card when nothing happens in June/July... :eek:

Berwick Bay · #456 Postby **Berwick Bay** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:14 am

This is getting interesting. Looks like a developer for sure. Question now is, just how far she will move into the Carribean. Who knows, the Berwick Model is rusty (been two years) ready to break it out now. Will wait for intialization, and give it a couple of more days while conditions north of the system become more apparent.

hurricanefloyd5 · #457 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:17 am

the big money qeustion is if two systems become td"s at the same time and i know this wont happen this time around then which system would be the next and then the next!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Just something to think about before more storms start popping!!!!!!!!!!!!

hurricanefloyd5 · #458 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:20 am

I can"t wait to see (c) the C name and maybe the D name!!!!!!!!!!!

:lol:

Weatherfreak14 · #459 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:20 am

I give this a 40% chance of this becoming a depression at 11am advisory and a 60% of a depression at 5pm advisory.

#460 Postby **Blown Away** » Mon Jul 30, 2007 9:21 am

COC is near 10.2N / 46W, IMO. The circulation is pulling in moisture, looks good to me. If this keeps up I bet this is a TD by 11pm.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

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