Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
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- hurricanefloyd5
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Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
Thread 1: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=96179&st=0&sk=t&sd=a
Thread 2: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=96512
Edited by Regit to allow people to find the old threads.
Thread 2: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=96512
Edited by Regit to allow people to find the old threads.
Last edited by hurricanefloyd5 on Mon Jul 30, 2007 11:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- hurricanefloyd5
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Re: Invest99L east of the windward Island#2
hurricanefloyd5 wrote:here is the new threadhttp://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/vie ... 12&start=0
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- gatorcane
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well the old LLC is gone folks and the new one is trying to form underneath that mass of convection well NE of the previous positioin -- that means again that a westrunner into the Western GOM likelyhood is lessening...
Notice the tendency of the blob to want to gain lattitude ever so slightly......
gosh I hope it doesn't gain too much more...
Throw out the models until the center finally forms - and we are likely to see a few more repositionings tomorrow....
Notice the tendency of the blob to want to gain lattitude ever so slightly......
gosh I hope it doesn't gain too much more...
Throw out the models until the center finally forms - and we are likely to see a few more repositionings tomorrow....
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- hurricanefloyd5
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:well the old LLC is gone folks and the new one is trying to form underneath that mass of convection well NE of the previous positioin -- that means again that a westrunner into the Western GOM likelyhood is lessening...
Notice the tendency of the blob to want to gain lattitude ever so slightly......
gosh I hope it doesn't gain too much more...
Throw out the models until the center finally forms - and we are likely to see a few more repositionings tomorrow....
we could
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #2
"If" it doe's develop this won't get to strong over the eastern or central caribbean. The shear is at least 20-25 knots, with dry air. There is a outside chance if this thing holds together once into the western caribbean.
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html
Yeah its 20 knots around the central caribbean, with increasing shear over the eastern part. Also the stable air is stronger over the eastern part of the caribbean...So its going to have a fight. I do hope this gets named dean.
Yeah its 20 knots around the central caribbean, with increasing shear over the eastern part. Also the stable air is stronger over the eastern part of the caribbean...So its going to have a fight. I do hope this gets named dean.
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- hurricanefloyd5
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html
Yeah its 20 knots around the central caribbean, with increasing shear over the eastern part. Also the stable air is stronger over the eastern part of the caribbean...So its going to have a fight. I do hope this gets named dean.
I hope so
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
gatorcane, what is it that you are seeing that would show this not becoming a westrunner or a GOM storm? All the data I am looking at indicates a building ridge to the north, and thus a low chance of this gaining too much latitude (at least until it reaches the western caribbean). Is there something different you are looking at that would indicate a higher threat further north though that I am not seeing? Because unless this gets up to 15-20N, I just do not see how it could be a threat to the southeast U.S. or Florida east coast.
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Re:
I am with you on that one. Hopefully this will stay weak and run right into the Yucatan without causing many issues.KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Hopefully it will stay out of the Gulf on down the road. The way the upper air pattern has been this Summer Texas and Louisiana would be under the gun.
Kerry
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- hurricanefloyd5
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
It's days out from being anywhere and it's already going to hit TX and LA
Going to be a long season.

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- hurricanefloyd5
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Re:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Keep it away from us!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
tell mother nature!!!!!!!!!!!!Listen to MOTHER!!!!!!!!!!!!
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- KFDM Meteorologist
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This is an ugly 500 Pattern for TX and Louisiana IF it were to be correct that far out.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_264l.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_264l.gif
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- PTrackerLA
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
This system sure went from looking dead to better than ever real quick! Let's hope whatever comes of this stays fairly weak, as KFDM met mentioned
. Here we go.

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- southerngale
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
Rainband wrote:It's days out from being anywhere and it's already going to hit TX and LAGoing to be a long season.
Yes it is... but I guess you missed all the "just like Charley, Dennis, and Ivan" posts... and the gazillion look out Florida posts.
It's going to hit a lot of places.

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