Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
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GeneratorPower
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skysummit
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Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
yes gator...and here we'll see the people jump back on the system....the same ones who completely wrote it off all day today. It does have a long ways to go, but it's got a lot going for it. A slower convective increase compared to the blow up last night is better for slow organization in this situation...IMO.
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GeneratorPower
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gatorcane
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sorry I mean diurnal maximum
the system is DEFINITELY getting its act together now again. When environmental conditions are near ideal how could it not?
Do we have a buoy report out there? I would like to see the data.
I can't believe we can say this is simply a tropical wave. Just look at the sat motion of it....
the system is DEFINITELY getting its act together now again. When environmental conditions are near ideal how could it not?
Do we have a buoy report out there? I would like to see the data.
I can't believe we can say this is simply a tropical wave. Just look at the sat motion of it....
Last edited by gatorcane on Tue Jul 31, 2007 10:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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GeneratorPower
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:sorry I mean diurnal maximum - I've been inundated with my MBA work -- so I'm back now for a bit...
the system is DEFINITELY getting its act together now again. When environmental conditions are near ideal how could it not?
Why systems don't form in ideal conditions and do form in hostile conditions, at least sometimes, is what makes all this interesting to me. There is quite a bit about cyclogenesis that man does not understand. Weather is a beautiful thing.
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Berwick Bay
Re: Invest 99L East of Windwards #3
Skysummit said
yes gator...and here we'll see the people jump back on the system....the same ones who completely wrote it off all day today. It does have a long ways to go, but it's got a lot going for it. A slower convective increase compared to the blow up last night is better for slow organization in this situation...IMO.
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So true Sky. I know that its really human nature to swing back and forth with every little change that becomes visible. And you might notice that the pro mets were just as guilty as the amateurs in this regard. I think a big problem is switching from that June-July mindset to the mid season one. In June-July the odds are so stacked against any development, but thats not necessarily the case now. Looking long term, if conditions are at least neutral for development, then you have a much better chance of seeing it than you did just two weeks ago.
yes gator...and here we'll see the people jump back on the system....the same ones who completely wrote it off all day today. It does have a long ways to go, but it's got a lot going for it. A slower convective increase compared to the blow up last night is better for slow organization in this situation...IMO.
_____________________________________________________
So true Sky. I know that its really human nature to swing back and forth with every little change that becomes visible. And you might notice that the pro mets were just as guilty as the amateurs in this regard. I think a big problem is switching from that June-July mindset to the mid season one. In June-July the odds are so stacked against any development, but thats not necessarily the case now. Looking long term, if conditions are at least neutral for development, then you have a much better chance of seeing it than you did just two weeks ago.
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