Gulf Of Mexico Disturbance (RECON SET)

[Cyclone1]

What are your local mets along the Florida Coast saying? Are they saying any type of movement? Local mets up here are saying possible slow development, then should drift north toward the MGC. I'm just curious to see if there are any other forecasts.

That's about what we're hearing in the Tampa Bay area also.

[ronjon]

Looks like low pressure trying to form about 100 miles west of Crystal River. It could be a MLC. Need to get some pressure readings to be sure. I know a 1010 mb low is located further west.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=TBW&loop=yes

[ronjon]

Looks to be a MLC on the radar signature. Pressure rising at NE GOM buoys.

STATION/POSITION TEMP WIND PRES WAVE SWELL
AIR SEA DIR/SP/G HT/PER HT/PER
(F) (DEG/KT/KT) (MB) (FT/S) (FT/S)
29.2N 88.2W 81 84 60/ 10/ 16 1011.5R 2/ 4
28.8N 85.6W 78 84 70/ 12/ 14 1011.8R 2/ 6 2/ 6

[Aquawind]

Yep just as forecasted here the boundry has lifted north and taken the rain with it..

[Ivanhater]

I dont think they will send a plane out..i dont see where they would look...

[MGC]

No need for recon today....MGC

[Cyclone1]

A low has formed, and convection is hanging on. But it's definitely not near TD status. No recon needed.

[Buck]

If it sits over the water another day or two and convection is still persisting, I bet we'll have something to watch. But right now, recon would be absolutely useless.

[Stormcenter]

A low has formed, and convection is hanging on. But it's definitely not near TD status. No recon needed.

Where exactly is the location of the low?

[Cyclone1]

A low has formed, and convection is hanging on. But it's definitely not near TD status. No recon needed.

Where exactly is the location of the low?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Check the box that says fronts.

[Stormcenter]

A low has formed, and convection is hanging on. But it's definitely not near TD status. No recon needed.

Where exactly is the location of the low?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Check the box that says fronts.

I did but nothing is showing up in the GOM.

[Chacor]

Recon cancelled.

[Cyclone1]

I did but nothing is showing up in the GOM.

There's a little L symbol. That's the low. 1010.

[Janie2006]

I pay relatively little attention to TV "personalities" unless they are trained meteorologists. Anyone can read a teleprompter or grab the latest NWS forecast off the newswire.

[Windsurfer_NYC]

883
NOUS42 KNHC 021415
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT THU 02 AUGUST 2007
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z AUGUST 2007
TCPOD NUMBER.....07-071

3. SUSPECT AREA (GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE
A. 03/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01EEA INVEST
C. 03/1730Z
D. 30.0N 86.0W
E. 03/1730Z TO 03/2200Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
4. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
5. REMARKS: TASKING ON THIS SYSTEM FOR 02/1800Z
AND 03/1200Z AND 1800Z CANCELED BY NHC AT 02/1330Z.

[SouthFloridawx]

Just keep that rain coming, I love it.

[Cyclone1]

Just keep that rain coming, I love it.

Me, too. Rain in the morning? Isn't it great?

[DESTRUCTION5]

Just keep that rain coming, I love it.

They say were done for 5 days..Buy it?

[SouthFloridawx]

Just keep that rain coming, I love it.

They say were done for 5 days..Buy it?

Nah... I don't buy it, it's summer time!

[ronjon]

From NWS Tallahassee morning AFD:

OBSERVATIONS AND THE LATEST STREAMLINE ANALYSIS OVER THE NE GULF REVEAL THE POSSIBILITY OF TWO VERY WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TROUGH. THE FIRST ONE JUST WEST OF TAMPA NEAR 27N85W AND THE OTHER SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS NEAR 27N89W.