Simple 90L poll part three

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TD at 5 AM or not?

Yes
30
49%
No
31
51%
 
Total votes: 61

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cycloneye
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Simple 90L poll part three

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:30 pm

TD at 5 AM or not is the simple question a yes or no.

I say no.
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HeeBGBz
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#2 Postby HeeBGBz » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:31 pm

If I keep voting yes, there's a chance I might eventually be right.
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:33 pm

No, I think they will wait for daylight (11 am), even though I do believe it is a tropical depression right now. By then, it may become TS Dean immediately...
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#4 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:37 pm

At 5am ET, it will be 9am over the invest. There will be vis before 5am.
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#5 Postby canetracker » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:41 pm

No.
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#6 Postby miamicanes177 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:41 pm

Considering I believe it is a tropical depression right now, I voted yes.
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#7 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:45 pm

i say no.. i bet it will be around 8 or 9 am... gives them a chance to study a longer loop or what have you of the visible images, and if the convection has continued to hang in there... of course, that is if the center is under the convection or closer to it by 8 or 9am... :P


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#8 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:55 pm

I say yes. They can't put off calling it much longer.Each hour that passes,the closer its gettting to people in it's path :roll:
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#9 Postby StormScanWx » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:59 pm

I don't think this will be classified a tropical depression on the 5 a.m. (4 a.m. CDT) advisory..

Actually, I think the upgrade from an INVEST to a T.D. will occur between 8 a.m. and 4 p.m. tommorow.
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#10 Postby sunnyday » Sun Aug 12, 2007 10:35 pm

No for any development of this one at all.
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#11 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 12, 2007 10:36 pm

sunnyday wrote:No for any development of this one at all.


Why do you think that?
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#12 Postby astrosbaseball22 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 10:44 pm

canegrl04 wrote:I say yes. They can't put off calling it much longer.Each hour that passes,the closer its gettting to people in it's path :roll:



agree.
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#13 Postby Hurrilurker » Sun Aug 12, 2007 10:51 pm

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

It's very hard to believe that thing is not already a TD. I know there's a danger of relying on IR only...but it has convection, it is consolidating, it is growing, it looks like it *might* be developing rotation (hard to tell yet though), and it is developing outflow. But hey, I am an amateur hack. :P
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chadtm80

#14 Postby chadtm80 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 10:52 pm

Good original Idea on this poll Luis :-)
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Re:

#15 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 10:53 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Good original Idea on this poll Luis :-)

ROFL!
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#16 Postby Incident_MET » Sun Aug 12, 2007 11:07 pm

Based on purely satellite...yes it is a TD now and will be at 5AM
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Re: Re:

#17 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Aug 12, 2007 11:10 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:
chadtm80 wrote:Good original Idea on this poll Luis :-)

ROFL!

HAHA
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#18 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Aug 12, 2007 11:15 pm

I think it should have been called one at 11pm, but since they decided not to I will say yes for 5am.
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#19 Postby wayne56 » Sun Aug 12, 2007 11:27 pm

By 5am it will be TD, 11am a named system, and within 48 hours a "cane". 8-)
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Re: Simple 90L poll part three

#20 Postby MGC » Sun Aug 12, 2007 11:32 pm

I voted yes based on Quickscat and IR imagery. Looks like it is a TD right now....MGC
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