CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[DESTRUCTION5]

Well just when you think the GFS can't come up with a new one it has..LOL

[destruction92]

Looks GOM bound as of now.

One common misconception/assumption I see on this board is that if a storm enters the carribean, it is automatically a Gulf of Mexico storm. Come on! Nothing could be farther from the truth. Just look at this track (which shows a storm entering the Southern Caribbean past the Windward Islands and almost touching South America and then hitting eastern Cuba and out fishing in the Atlantic Ocean). http://weather.terrapin.com/wx/DisplayS ... dtype=JAVA

It's called massive ridge and in this pattern it's quite possible

"Massive ridge"? Please inform me where you see a massive ridge in NOAA's Surface Analysis map? http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA.shtml

[Sanibel]

204 hour:

Texas!

[Extremecane]

looks like it stalls in the gulf

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif

[windstorm99]

Next run it will have it making landfall in boston.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Next run it will have it making landfall in boston.

Did that already ..Its only option now is back to Africa..

[Brent]

Middle Texas coast again.

That's where 91L is headed it seems also...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_240l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_252l.gif INLAND

[RL3AO]

Next run it will have it making landfall in boston.

Then it will turn towards Spain and enter the Mediterranean Sea and hit Greece.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_240l.gif

[Agua]

Next run it will have it making landfall in boston.

Very possible.

[jwayne]

Middle Texas coast again.

That's where 91L is headed it seems also...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_240l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_252l.gif INLAND

Boy, now wouldn't that be one sick 8 day period!!!!

[SouthFLTropics]

Headed to the gulf huh? Even if this model run is bunk I can already sense that it is going to hit us in our pocketbook. The oil futures are gonna begin shooting up even with the thought of this getting into the gulf which means that we are all going to pay more at the gas pump in the next week. As if we didn't have enough expenses already! Such is life! LOL

SouthFLTropics

[skufful]

Be interesting to see if NHC changes the cone

[cheezyWXguy]

I totally agree and just came on to post that same thing. That tight center with the eye in it reminds me of early strong hurricanes in formation.

That is not an eye. It is the result of convection dieing out. If this storm doesnt get another convection burst over the center before this one dies out completely, development could be hindered even further

[KFDM Meteorologist]

This model will jump from place to place through Friday/Saturday.

[Steve]

Once you get out to 300 hours, Dean is up in Minnesota which is a pretty far westerly track to be in the Great Lakes IMHO. At the same time, it's got some action off the US East Coast which would be of interest if this was a plausible scenario.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_324l.gif

[tgenius]

This model will jump from place to place through Friday/Saturday.

The problem is that you will have all the media (read:news), from Texas to FL in hysteria, as its the first real "threat" of the season, assuming TD5 to be/Erin doesn't take the headlines first!

[GraysonDave]

Headed to the gulf huh? Even if this model run is bunk I can already sense that it is going to hit us in our pocketbook. The oil futures are gonna begin shooting up even with the thought of this getting into the gulf which means that we are all going to pay more at the gas pump in the next week. As if we didn't have enough expenses already! Such is life! LOL

SouthFLTropics

Natural gas futures went up about 3% during the course of the GFS rolling out. It'll fall back on the next model run. LOL.

[destruction92]

Looks GOM bound as of now.

One common misconception/assumption I see on this board is that if a storm enters the carribean, it is automatically a Gulf of Mexico storm. Come on! Nothing could be farther from the truth. Just look at this track (which shows a storm entering the Southern Caribbean past the Windward Islands and almost touching South America and then hitting eastern Cuba and out fishing in the Atlantic Ocean). http://weather.terrapin.com/wx/DisplayS ... dtype=JAVA

It's called massive ridge and in this pattern it's quite possible

"Massive ridge"? Please inform me where you see a massive ridge in NOAA's Surface Analysis map? http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/UA.shtml