CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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Wx_Warrior
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) 18z Tropical Models Posted

#1521 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:17 pm

Please post when available...much thanks!!!
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) 18z Tropical Models Posted

#1522 Postby cycloneye » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:18 pm

HUC wrote:cycloneye,the latest num model put Dean over the central island chain,around Martinica!That a change to a more south track,increasing the threat for my location..............


Yes,the models are like a wiper :) My friend,my best model of choice is the actual movement of Dean and nothing else.
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Scorpion

#1523 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:19 pm

Yikes...

Image
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) 18z Tropical Models Posted

#1524 Postby windstorm99 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:20 pm

Someone post pics of the ECWF when possible.
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Derek Ortt

#1525 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:20 pm

dean needs a few showers around this and soon. I was not expecting what happened today to happen.

This dry air intrusion has allowed for greater surface divergence... likely means slower intensification than thought jut a few hours ago. The next few hours are going to be critical for determinging if this does become a significant hurricane east of the islands or if development will be significantly slowed
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) 18z Tropical Models Posted

#1526 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:20 pm

Euro is quite strong into Miami

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Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models

#1527 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:20 pm

Miami Hurricanes.....football season starting....
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#1528 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:21 pm

euro been consistant on FL, FL straights..Really the only model not going from brownsville to Maine..
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) 18z Tropical Models Posted

#1529 Postby windycity » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:21 pm

k4sdi-I'm not sure what you were asking. Major hurricanes that pass through the Hebert Box have a greater chance of a Florida hit.
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#1530 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:21 pm

>>Don't worry about me i have not been posting alot and i keep going to wunderground so i know i'm helping the site. Captain Punkyg! so when are the next gfs run coming out?

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Steve
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Re:

#1531 Postby destruction92 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:22 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:euro been consistant on FL, FL straights..Really the only model not going from brownsville to Maine..


but a lot of people here pay more attention to the GFS...according to one poster, the NHC prefers the GFS.
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Scorpion

Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models

#1532 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:23 pm

Image
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) 18z Tropical Models Posted

#1533 Postby Extremecane » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:24 pm

Explodes as soon it gets to the gulf:

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#1534 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:25 pm

Good friggin night irene...(NEW OREANS)
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Scorpion

#1535 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:25 pm

Yep... looks like a Cat 4/5 hitting Mobile
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Re: Re:

#1536 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:26 pm

x-y-no wrote:
KFDM Meteorologist wrote:Anyone else have any EURO yet? It hasn't updated on my system here.


I posted 24 hours in the models thread.

It initialized way too weak, so I don't know how much the run is worth. It starts getting the system back after 24, track more northerly.

Sorry, I don't have time to do images - trying to do my job whilst also monitoring the board performance (we're way into uncharted territory in terms of load).


You and the board are doing a great job then.. no doubt it is running very fast for so many users..

Very Well Done!
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Re:

#1537 Postby artist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:26 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Good friggin night irene...(NEW OREANS)

it looks to be east of there to me.
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#1538 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:26 pm

Destin @ 240:

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Re: Tropical Storm Dean

#1539 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:27 pm

Extremecane wrote:Explodes as soon it gets to the gulf:

Image



I have a good buddy in Destin whom I will NOT be mentioning this to this far out.

The great thing about these models this far out is we CAN igore it and it will go away :wink:
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#1540 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 14, 2007 2:27 pm

The European wants to destroy Florida. Besides the SE hit, it rides the coast probably at close to a major and maybe has a dual hit, restrengthened on the Panhandle? Maybe they want your land or something. That's just a brutal scenario there for all involved.

Steve
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