CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- storms in NC
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2338
- Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
- Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
- Contact:
Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
Looks like its going to go right over my head here 

0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1559
- Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
- Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC
The current track has shifted south by about two islands in the Lesser Antilles. Before it was Dominica and then St. Croix and PR under the gun. Now it looks to be aiming more at Martinique (as a Cat 1, which is better than this morning) and then headed to Hispanola (Dominican Rep. / Haiti). Hispanola could of course kill the thing, so over all, this is a better track in many ways than what we saw earlier.
0 likes
- HurryKane
- Category 5
- Posts: 1941
- Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 8:08 pm
- Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi
Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
jhamps10 wrote:Wx_Warrior wrote:Wow...Didn't Camille go east of NOLA?
Yeah. made landfall somewhere near Biloxi. Camille, first storm to still be a TD in Illinois IIRC.
Pass Christian, to be exact-ish.
0 likes
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 541
- Joined: Wed Mar 15, 2006 6:48 pm
- Location: Florida, Kissimmee/St.CLoud
Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
Is there any eddies out in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf, that we need to be concern of, that's one of the reasons Katrina became a monster in 2005
0 likes
Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models
I can get ECMWF. It shows Dean to be a 4 - hitting southern Florida, then the panhandle of Florida and Mobile area.
0 likes
Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
meteorologyman wrote:Is there any eddies out in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf, that we need to be concern of, that's one of the reasons Katrina became a monster in 2005
Yeah in the Gulf, about in the same areas as in 05, only a bit larger, and warmer too. Eddy goes almost to the coast.
Atlantic, or caribbean I don't know.
0 likes
- x-y-no
- Category 5
- Posts: 8359
- Age: 65
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
- Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL
Re:
Derek Ortt wrote:10,000 people can also be killed if this strikes Hispaniola as a major, especially if it goes across Port Au Prince, Haiti (or any part of Haiti for that matter)
Yes, a major would be a huge disaster for Haiti and the DR - lots of people there who are too poor to have any ability to protect themselves in such an event.
0 likes
Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
jhamps10 wrote:meteorologyman wrote:Is there any eddies out in the Atlantic, Caribbean, or Gulf, that we need to be concern of, that's one of the reasons Katrina became a monster in 2005
Yeah in the Gulf, about in the same areas as in 05, only a bit larger, and warmer too. Eddy goes almost to the coast.
Atlantic, or caribbean I don't know.
0 likes
- SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
Re: Re:
StormWarning1 wrote:KFDM Meteorologist wrote:18Z GFS at 5:30 Central time.
4:30 Central
Working now...
0 likes
Re:
Scorpion wrote:Can't imagine what would happen if the WRF verified... 900 mb into Haiti? Most of the houses are quite flimsy.. they would be levelled without a doubt.
yeah, if it was a 900 into haiti, then we would have a disaster a lot worse than Katrina EVER was. But I look at this on the good side too, and forgive me for saying this, but a 900 mb hitting haiti would seriously hurt this thing, and would help the US.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1559
- Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
- Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC
I didn't mean for my comment about Hispaniola having the possibility of "killing" the storm / therefore a "better" track for the ConUS to in any way minimize the danger to those in Haiti / DR. I had friends who did relief work in Haiti following Jeanne, which was only a Cat1 and killed thousands. I know all too well how vulnerable Haiti and the DR are.
Apologies for sounding insensitive.
Apologies for sounding insensitive.
0 likes
- windstorm99
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1578
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sat May 26, 2007 8:10 am
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Contact:
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
- Location: Beaumont, TX
- storms in NC
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2338
- Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
- Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
- Contact:
Re: Re:
jhamps10 wrote:Scorpion wrote:Can't imagine what would happen if the WRF verified... 900 mb into Haiti? Most of the houses are quite flimsy.. they would be levelled without a doubt.
yeah, if it was a 900 into haiti, then we would have a disaster a lot worse than Katrina EVER was. But I look at this on the good side too, and forgive me for saying this, but a 900 mb hitting haiti would seriously hurt this thing, and would help the US.
Haiti is not that big. For if a cat-3-5 would go over it would do nothing to the storm.JMO
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2718
- Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
- Location: Beaumont, TX
Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery
windstorm99 wrote:Accuweather's Thinking...
looks awfully close to the 11AM forecast.
Sure looks like they made that on the fly using the 5PM position, and the 11AM forecast.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests