CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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Wx_Warrior
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5441 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:44 pm

TT...This board is addicting....And will make you crazy :double:
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5442 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:45 pm

Sanibel wrote:That radar is poor. The eye then collapses.



collapses??

I agree its poor.. but collapses
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Coredesat

#5443 Postby Coredesat » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:46 pm

My next forecast on Dean won't be posted as I currently don't have power due to a severe thunderstorm.
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#5444 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:47 pm

latest and the last image is in 415.. we are now in the eclipse..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

the deeper reds are expanding and wrapping around .. so radar and sat show some potential .. not good for the islands
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5445 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:47 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:TT...This board is addicting....And will make you crazy :double:

Indeed. Especially when a model just decides to quit working. You just HAVE to see the next image before retiring for the night. "I'm going to bed as soon as the next image comes out!" Next one comes out, you decide, no foul, and you wait for the next one :lol: End up awake until 5 am or something doing that without even realizing it...:lol:
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5446 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:47 pm

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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5447 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:48 pm

Im about to throw my computer moniter if they dont post the rest of the run soon. :double:
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5448 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:48 pm

Weatherfreak14 wrote:Im about to throw my computer moniter if they dont post the rest of the run soon. :double:
yeah, this run decided to stop at the worst possible time. :roll:
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5449 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:48 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Sanibel wrote:That radar is poor. The eye then collapses.



collapses??

I agree its poor.. but collapses


are yall talking about radar presentation or the radar itself? Im confused....Dean is looking better, but the radar isnt exactly my favorite
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5450 Postby HeeBGBz » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:48 pm

Ah well, I'm going to bed. All this info will be here in the morning. Ya'll take good notes for me to read in the am. G'nite.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5451 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:49 pm

On the last frame the eye is probably that round circle above Barbados with a little round circle at 12 high.

I doubt it is still and unimpressive on Barbados now. Closer pass than first thought on weak side. I wish that Barbados guy would update, but he's probably asleep.

IR shows heavy cell over St Lucia now in band. St Lucia getting going I bet!
Last edited by Sanibel on Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5452 Postby vaffie » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:49 pm

It reminds me of those movies where the monster comes out of the tv. as soon as it made the turn to hit the US, the system crashed... power out... oops.
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Re: HR Dean: For any Island in the Carib that could be affected

#5453 Postby bvigal » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:49 pm

Thanks for the loops, Eric!

Hmm, we aren't under a tropical storm WATCH.... or anything.

Really worried about Martinique. Fort de France, a really great city, has over 1/4 million people, and it still looks like Dean will go right over them. A little wobble would be nice, put the worst winds in Martinique Passage!
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#5454 Postby Fego » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:49 pm

Eclipse? would you be so kind to explain what is that? I guess you are talking about the floater.
Last edited by Fego on Fri Aug 17, 2007 12:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5455 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:50 pm

Sanibel wrote:On the last frame the eye is probably that round circle above Barbados with a little round circle at 12 high.

I doubt it is still and unimpressive on Barbados now. Closer pass than first thought on weak side. I wish that Barbados guy would update, but he's probably asleep.


your confusing me ..
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5456 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:50 pm

Wow it must hit as a Cat 10 cuz it broke the computer model. :lol:
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5457 Postby Wthrman13 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:51 pm

The status page indicates the model run is fine, it's likely just a problem with the graphics post-processing and web publishing, and probably not with the model itself.
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Re:

#5458 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:51 pm

Fego wrote:Eclipse? would you be so kind to explaine what is that? I guess you are talking about the floater.


Satellite outage, it gets longer until the Fall solstice in Late September when it'll last about 3 hours.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models =00z GFS is rolling in

#5459 Postby vaffie » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:51 pm

Anyway, since the NCEP website seems to be having trouble, I found it on the E-Wall. It shows it hit just south of Brownsville, then creep up the Rio Grande River at 180 hours.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_ ... ml#picture
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#5460 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 16, 2007 11:51 pm

Why isn't the radar picking up any rain?
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