CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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EyELeSs1
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5661 Postby EyELeSs1 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 4:57 am

Sanibel wrote: Some dawn there on the island. Northern St Lucia under return winds as well...


yep some dawn indeed. First visible images should be available soon.
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#5662 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 17, 2007 4:58 am

Does anyone know when was the last time a hurricane impacted the Lesser Antilles but didn't make landfall?

Because even though the eyewall of Dean is making landfall in St. Lucia according to the latest images, the center remains over water.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5663 Postby weatherman0518 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 4:58 am

caneman wrote:man oh man, that ULL really isn't moving much. I belive we are going to continue to see shifts to the right.


I agree im lookin at the images comin in from the 06 GFS run rite now and its already north of Jamacia when the old track had it goin south hmmmm.... lets see
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5664 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:00 am

Le Lemantin, Martinique as of 5am reported sustained winds at 43mph gusting up to 64mph:

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TFFF.html
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#5665 Postby caneman » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:00 am

yep, new GFS is a little bit right. LAst one had it South of Jamaica and now it goes over or just North of Jamaica
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5666 Postby EyELeSs1 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:00 am

Sunrise

Image
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5667 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:04 am

Thunder44 wrote:Le Lemantin, Martinique as of 5am reported sustained winds at 43mph gusting up to 64mph:

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TFFF.html


Now at 6am sustained at 20mph gusting to 89mph!
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#5668 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:06 am

Sustained at 20 gusting to 89??
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5669 Postby EyELeSs1 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:08 am

bad news...Martinique radar is now down..... that cannot be good

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#5670 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:10 am

Not suprising, this is a Category 2 Hurricane after all.
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#5671 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:11 am

St. Lucia:
Wind from the W (260 degrees) at 44 MPH (38 KT) gusting to 58 MPH (50 KT)
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5672 Postby otowntiger » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:11 am

Sustained at 20 and gusting to 89? That not very impressive at all considering thats where the strongest part of this system is. I'm glad for the islands that this thing didn't bomb like everyone was thinking before it hit them.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5673 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:13 am

Vigie, St. Lucia sustained 5mph gust to 64mph:

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TLPC.html
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5674 Postby Toadstool » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:14 am

otowntiger wrote:Sustained at 20 and gusting to 89? That not very impressive at all considering thats where the strongest part of this system is. I'm glad for the islands that this thing didn't bomb like everyone was thinking before it hit them.


Sounds like it did bomb, meaning it didn't perform to expectations. I agree it's good it bombed.
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Re: HR Dean: For any Island in the Carib that could be affected

#5675 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:15 am

Report from St Lucia on Stormcarib.com:


I'm located in Cap Estate which is in the very North of the Island and at around 3 am the winds started blowing strongly from I would guess the West. It's now 4.45 am and the wind has been backing around to the East and blowing a real gale. I'm partly sheltered so its very difficult to tell how strong the winds are. I have a tree down in my yard and the power has been off for a couple of hours, I'm on my standbye generator and hopefully my phone line will stay up.


It appears that the eye of Dean will pass very close to the north end of the island and this is something we were not expecting and so the conditions are I feel much worse. There must be many people that have been caught unawares as to the severity of the storm, hopefully they will get through this without much material damage but I think not.

I was here for Allen and this is very similar in experience so far.


Well I have to take a walk around as sitting still in my nervous state is doing me no good.

Hopefully I will be able to report back in a couple of hours.

Chris Kessell
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#5676 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:16 am

Whats with these wind readings where the sustained value is separated by 50-60 mph from the gust values?
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#5677 Postby ExBailbonds » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:19 am

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#5678 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:20 am

Image

Ladies and gentlemen, Dean has officially entered the Caribbean Sea, it's all downhill from here.
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Re:

#5679 Postby EyELeSs1 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:20 am

Normandy wrote:Whats with these wind readings where the sustained value is separated by 50-60 mph from the gust values?



i think this sustained value is kind of suspect for one reason or another... maybe it has to do with the localized location of the observation (terrain etc.)

Image
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager

#5680 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 5:21 am

Toadstool wrote:
otowntiger wrote:Sustained at 20 and gusting to 89? That not very impressive at all considering thats where the strongest part of this system is. I'm glad for the islands that this thing didn't bomb like everyone was thinking before it hit them.


Sounds like it did bomb, meaning it didn't perform to expectations. I agree it's good it bombed.


The NW part of eyewall just moving over them now. They should be NE Quad soon and that should be stronger.
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