New storm on the horizon??

[Vortex]

8/18 00z CMC has been at least consisten and has a hurricane heading towards the Florida East coast late next week


http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... dd_100.gif

[Vortex]

cmc animated thru h-144

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_fo ... 12_....jpg

[Robjohn53]

Seems to me that CMC was hinting of this, I saw it on another thread and they was asking what CMC was up to now and if they were Phantom Lows. Might not be from the looks of this. Never know but it looks like it is gonna be busy for a while now.


Robjohn53

[Vortex]

Here's a better animation of the 00z CMC

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

[Vortex]

GFS Animation 00z 8/18 run

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

[flwxwatcher]

UKMET starting to pick this feature up ..

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation

[Vortex]

Interesting..Ukmet tends to be conservative and more often than not if the UK picks up on something I really pay close attention. Should be an interesting week ahead...

[Vortex]

00z 8/18 HWRF continues to bring a closed low across south florida


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation

[Vortex]

The above run is actually the GFDL..Its getting late

[Coredesat]

Looks to be too low in latitude with most convection limited to the ITCZ:

[stormchazer]

Looks to be too low in latitude with most convection limited to the ITCZ:.

The image you have there is older then the one a few post above. It does have possibilities to be become an Invest if it can build and maintain a bit more convection.

[HurricaneRobert]

Nevermind. GFS is picking it up over the Lesser Antilles. Is this one bound for Florida?

[vacanechaser]

Looks to be too low in latitude with most convection limited to the ITCZ:

too low? ivan was around 9 north if i remember correctly..


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[vacanechaser]

i also find it interesting how it did not even get mentioned at 11:30am... we will see what they do i guess at 5:30pm



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[HURAKAN]

[fci]

i also find it interesting how it did not even get mentioned at 11:30am... we will see what they do i guess at 5:30pm



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Maybe the NHC is too busy with Dean to concentrate any resources on this.
If they wait until it is a TD there is no harm since it is so far out.

I think if there were no Dean there might be more attention paid to this area.

I may be way off base here, just guessing....

[Zardoz]

i also find it interesting how it did not even get mentioned at 11:30am...

Maybe the NHC is too busy with Dean to concentrate any resources on this.

I think if there were no Dean there might be more attention paid to this area.

You're undoubtedly right. They have much bigger fish to fry at the moment. Dean is going to kill a lot of people. The NHC is trying to save some lives.

[Bgator]

Anyone have any more information on this possible development?

[RL3AO]

Maybe the NHC is too busy with Dean to concentrate any resources on this.
If they wait until it is a TD there is no harm since it is so far out.

I think if there were no Dean there might be more attention paid to this area.

I may be way off base here, just guessing....

No, they will just have one of the specialists take care of advisories.

[windstorm99]

12z CMC intensifiying a system heading in the general direction of southern florida.....Overall i expect something will pop up in the atlantic in the next few days somewere.Adrian