New storm on the horizon??

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Vortex
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Re: New storm on the horizon??

#41 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:04 am

8/18 00z CMC has been at least consisten and has a hurricane heading towards the Florida East coast late next week


http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... dd_100.gif
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#42 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:08 am

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Re: Look at what's behind Dean:

#43 Postby Robjohn53 » Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:17 am

Seems to me that CMC was hinting of this, I saw it on another thread and they was asking what CMC was up to now and if they were Phantom Lows. Might not be from the looks of this. Never know but it looks like it is gonna be busy for a while now.


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#44 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:20 am

Here's a better animation of the 00z CMC

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
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#45 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:22 am

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Re: New storm on the horizon??

#46 Postby flwxwatcher » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:08 am

UKMET starting to pick this feature up ..

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation
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Re: New storm on the horizon??

#47 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:20 am

Interesting..Ukmet tends to be conservative and more often than not if the UK picks up on something I really pay close attention. Should be an interesting week ahead...
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#48 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:24 am

00z 8/18 HWRF continues to bring a closed low across south florida


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
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Re: New storm on the horizon??

#49 Postby Vortex » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:28 am

The above run is actually the GFDL..Its getting late
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Coredesat

#50 Postby Coredesat » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:53 am

Looks to be too low in latitude with most convection limited to the ITCZ:

Image
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Re:

#51 Postby stormchazer » Sat Aug 18, 2007 7:20 am

Coredesat wrote:Looks to be too low in latitude with most convection limited to the ITCZ:.


The image you have there is older then the one a few post above. It does have possibilities to be become an Invest if it can build and maintain a bit more convection.
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Re: Look at what's behind Dean:

#52 Postby HurricaneRobert » Sat Aug 18, 2007 9:15 am

Nevermind. GFS is picking it up over the Lesser Antilles. Is this one bound for Florida?
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Re:

#53 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 18, 2007 11:51 am

Coredesat wrote:Looks to be too low in latitude with most convection limited to the ITCZ:

Image



too low? ivan was around 9 north if i remember correctly..


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#54 Postby vacanechaser » Sat Aug 18, 2007 11:53 am

i also find it interesting how it did not even get mentioned at 11:30am... we will see what they do i guess at 5:30pm



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#55 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 18, 2007 11:58 am

Image

Image
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Re:

#56 Postby fci » Sat Aug 18, 2007 12:22 pm

vacanechaser wrote:i also find it interesting how it did not even get mentioned at 11:30am... we will see what they do i guess at 5:30pm



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http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team



Maybe the NHC is too busy with Dean to concentrate any resources on this.
If they wait until it is a TD there is no harm since it is so far out.

I think if there were no Dean there might be more attention paid to this area.

I may be way off base here, just guessing....
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Re: Re:

#57 Postby Zardoz » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:19 pm

fci wrote:
vacanechaser wrote:i also find it interesting how it did not even get mentioned at 11:30am...

Maybe the NHC is too busy with Dean to concentrate any resources on this.

I think if there were no Dean there might be more attention paid to this area.

You're undoubtedly right. They have much bigger fish to fry at the moment. Dean is going to kill a lot of people. The NHC is trying to save some lives.
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#58 Postby Bgator » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:20 pm

Anyone have any more information on this possible development?
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Re: Re:

#59 Postby RL3AO » Sat Aug 18, 2007 1:56 pm

fci wrote:Maybe the NHC is too busy with Dean to concentrate any resources on this.
If they wait until it is a TD there is no harm since it is so far out.

I think if there were no Dean there might be more attention paid to this area.

I may be way off base here, just guessing....


No, they will just have one of the specialists take care of advisories.
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Re: New storm on the horizon??

#60 Postby windstorm99 » Sat Aug 18, 2007 2:03 pm

12z CMC intensifiying a system heading in the general direction of southern florida.....Overall i expect something will pop up in the atlantic in the next few days somewere.Adrian
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