kurtpage wrote:btangy wrote:Dang, let the bashing of the GFS begin. I'm not sure why people are discounting it immediately. It's important not to let your own bias get in the way, whether you are aware of it or not.
The fact is the resolution of the GFS doesn't allow it to represent the inner core of the tropical cyclone very well. We don't have the computing power to do this. But, it does represent larger scale features important for the steering of the storm well, which is far more important than getting the strength of the storm correct. If it were the opposite, then one wouldn't expect the models (not only the GFS) to do the slightest bit well with the track forecasts despite the gains the models have made with synoptic scale predictions.
Not enough computing power? what is the GFS running on system wise?
Windows 95.
They get the blue screen of death each time Dean Wobbles.