CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
My opinions are not endorsed by Storm2k:
Taking a straight edge to the current track on the screen I would say Dean might come closer to Chetumal than first forecast. They (could) see much higher winds. The southern eyewall might only be 10-15 miles north if the current track holds.
Taking a straight edge to the current track on the screen I would say Dean might come closer to Chetumal than first forecast. They (could) see much higher winds. The southern eyewall might only be 10-15 miles north if the current track holds.
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Re: Re:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Raebie wrote:Somewhere, someone tonight is gonna lose their life. And their family won't care if it was a cat4 or cat5 hurricane that caused it.
That is true to them. But to us the matter of it being a cat4 or cat5 is important. Like your team winning the football game.
I hope you didn't mean this in the way I read it....
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By sat presentation alone Dean looks to be deepening further...eye is starting to clear out and warm by the looks of WV.
Also, honestly, this thing is going to get VERY close to Chetumal....putting a straightedge on the northern eyewall, if it were to head due west the northern eyewall would BARELY miss Chetumal. Looks like on this heading, Dean might pass right over Chetumal, putting them in the southern eye.
Also, honestly, this thing is going to get VERY close to Chetumal....putting a straightedge on the northern eyewall, if it were to head due west the northern eyewall would BARELY miss Chetumal. Looks like on this heading, Dean might pass right over Chetumal, putting them in the southern eye.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
I think we are witnessing a category five hurricane intensifying as it approaches land.
This might redefine catastrophic.......
This might redefine catastrophic.......
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
Last edited by theworld on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Weatherfreak14
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
WOW, a Cat 5 monster. This is complete destruction to Anywhere it hits.
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: Re:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Raebie wrote:Somewhere, someone tonight is gonna lose their life. And their family won't care if it was a cat4 or cat5 hurricane that caused it.
That is true to them. But to us the matter of it being a cat4 or cat5 is important. Like your team winning the football game.
Uh....
THis is gonna be horrible. Nothing good about this.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
This thing is strengthing big time. The eye is clear and warming fast with reds wraped all the way around. Reminds me of Katrina at her peak or Mitch. In fact with the colder cloud tops=it can bring the winds to the surface. Making the .9 possibly the one to use. Which if so this is closer to 170 mph. Who knows one of the pro's will likely have to see if I'm right or wrong.
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Re: Re:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Raebie wrote:Somewhere, someone tonight is gonna lose their life. And their family won't care if it was a cat4 or cat5 hurricane that caused it.
That is true to them. But to us the matter of it being a cat4 or cat5 is important. Like your team winning the football game.
Uh....
THis is gonna be horrible. Nothing good about this.
You got that right Tampa bay hurricane.
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- Weatherfreak14
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
It looks in the last couple of frames it has jogged or wobbled to the WNW a bit.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
SunnyThoughts wrote:Stratosphere...I"ve been watching the chasers posts on another board as well who is now in Chetumal. I too wish him the best and hope he remains safe.
I'm sure he will be fine, though the continued strengthening is troubling. I gave a fleeting thought about meeting him in Cancun. Just didn't have enough time to do it, plus there was a chance Dean was heading to Texas
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- gatorcane
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
Weatherfreak14 wrote:It looks in the last couple of frames it has jogged or wobbled to the WNW a bit.
yes I do see a wobble WNW...but that is pretty consistent with the NHC forecast points.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Recon obs
panamatropicwatch wrote:Looks like that got one up out of Keesler but this is the only data I found.
We had no choice.... we couldn't support the storm from Croix.
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- canetracker
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico
I hope this appropriate to post this here. However, my heart goes out to those in harms way and also know how it feels to have devastation in your own backyard.
Links to Red Cross donation sites for affected areas of Dean. You may designate exactly where you want your gift to go by calling 1 800 HELP NOW or following the information on the below sites:
Information
http://american.redcross.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ntld_main&s_subsrc=
Credit Card donations for National Disaster Releif Fund
https://american.redcross.org/site/Donation2?idb=575766779&df_id=1086&1086.donation=form1
Links to Red Cross donation sites for affected areas of Dean. You may designate exactly where you want your gift to go by calling 1 800 HELP NOW or following the information on the below sites:
Information
http://american.redcross.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ntld_main&s_subsrc=
Credit Card donations for National Disaster Releif Fund
https://american.redcross.org/site/Donation2?idb=575766779&df_id=1086&1086.donation=form1
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- Downdraft
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Having watched this from a group of thunderstorms to now the most powerful storm on the planet at this time I can just sit here with my jaw dropped open and in a sense numb. I'll wake up in the morning and see the sun but many many others won't. Best we all remember that tonight as we temper our glee of a great storm with the sadness for the loss of life it will bring. 

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- Stephanie
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico
The Riviera Maya is in deep trouble. I stayed at the Bahia Principe-Tulum resort in 2003. It was about 45 minutes south of Cancun.
I never did go and see the Mayan Ruins in Tulum. I did go horseback riding on a beach about 15 minutes to the north of the resort. I couldn't help but think of that resort, the horses, etc. during Wilma and now Dean.
I never did go and see the Mayan Ruins in Tulum. I did go horseback riding on a beach about 15 minutes to the north of the resort. I couldn't help but think of that resort, the horses, etc. during Wilma and now Dean.
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- cycloneye
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico
canetracker wrote:I hope this appropriate to post this here. However, my heart goes out to those in harms way and also know how it feels to have devastation in your own backyard.
Links to Red Cross donation sites for affected areas of Dean. You may designate exactly where you want your gift to go by calling 1 800 HELP NOW or following the information on the below sites:
Information
http://american.redcross.org/site/PageServer?pagename=ntld_main&s_subsrc=
Credit Card donations for National Disaster Releif Fund
https://american.redcross.org/site/Donation2?idb=575766779&df_id=1086&1086.donation=form1
Thank you for posting the red cross links as for sure there will be plenty of traffic to those sites.
Gracias por postear los sitios de la cruz roja.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
I'm guessing bullseye on the forest preserve and Majahual inside the southern part of the eye.
Our friend in Chetumal (may) have bought 10 miles there.
Our friend in Chetumal (may) have bought 10 miles there.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis
Holy the ring is doubling in size around the eye. The eye is warming. Recon will "likely" will find something breath taking.
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