CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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Windsurfer_NYC
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#11621 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Thu Aug 23, 2007 11:15 am

It looks like the remnants of Dean have emerged over the Eastern Pacific, and been renamed 93E (Per NRL)
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Sanibel
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Re: Tropical Depression DEAN: 10 PM p328,Discussions

#11622 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 23, 2007 11:28 am

Weak convection however. Dean still has some kick. What a demon.


We should do a review of our coverage of Dean. I must admit I got pulled into thinking Dean was going to Texas early on because of climatology. A system like this rarely landed south of Brownsville, so GFS' recurve runs made me think it was seeing a weakness. I averaged its error rate and figured Texas was certain. Wrong. Next, this storm wasn't as wide as we were thinking. It also wasn't as strong. We should have seen what Dean had when he gave us a measure south of Jamaica. Belize only got 70mph where I assumed it would get at least 100mph. Wrong. Some were shouting about Chetumal being leveled. Wrong. Dean missed about 20 miles north and the south side winds were not as strong as some were shouting.

In the NY Times yesterday was a picture of a small Mexican concrete house de-roofed and flipped on its side in the landfall area. The entire house flipped up on its side and open to sight from the missing roof.
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Re: Tropical Depression DEAN: 10 PM p328,Discussions

#11623 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 23, 2007 12:56 pm

I agree with a bunch of your post. Climo says poleward, especially cat 4. It was hard to imagine Dean staying west for so long. The ridge was so strong. If here in Charlotte we see 104 degrees, that is a nasty ridge. I still would have bet Central Texas when Dean entered the Carib. Models will digest a lot of data from that one.

Did you hear about the unmanned drones to fly into hurricanes? Launching out of Key West. I am not sure whether they got into Dean or not. They can go under 1000 feet.
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Jamaica damage

#11624 Postby ohiostorm » Thu Aug 23, 2007 1:00 pm

I'm sure this was already talked about but I didn't have time to search. People over at Airliners.net are wondering if there was significant damage to Jamaica's main airport. Anyone know any details?
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#11625 Postby ohiostorm » Thu Aug 23, 2007 1:03 pm

WOW. That's just incredible. Does look like a nuke went off.
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Derek Ortt

#11626 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 23, 2007 3:17 pm

the aerosonde did not fly into Dean. Operations do not start for a few more days
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#11627 Postby StormScanWx » Thu Aug 23, 2007 3:33 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the aerosonde did not fly into Dean. Operations do not start for a few more days


Does anyone have a link to read more about this please?
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Belize-Mainland Mexico

#11628 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Aug 23, 2007 4:22 pm

Reports of at least 8 dead in Mexico.
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Belize-Mainland Mexico

#11629 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 23, 2007 4:32 pm

HurricaneBill wrote:Reports of at least 8 dead in Mexico.



Is there a link to the report?
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Re: Tropical Depression DEAN: 10 PM p328,Discussions

#11630 Postby Sanibel » Thu Aug 23, 2007 5:12 pm

Center burst upon arrival over water.

I think they need drones because I don't entirely trust that surface estimate.
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Re: Pictures from rightside eyewall?

#11631 Postby Javlin » Thu Aug 23, 2007 6:48 pm

MGC wrote:Frankly, it looks like the Mississippi gulf coast after Katrina......MGC


My thoughts exactly it's the water but these guys did have the wind for many miles inland :eek:
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Derek Ortt

#11632 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Aug 23, 2007 7:49 pm

could I have a source please for the report of 8 Mexican dead
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#11633 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Aug 23, 2007 8:04 pm

Wikipedia now has 32 dead with 10 dead in Mexico.
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Re: Tropical Depression DEAN: 10 PM p328,Discussions

#11634 Postby Dick Pache » Thu Aug 23, 2007 10:42 pm

Aerosonde info (may be olde)

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/project2005/aerosonde.html

Interesting links and PPT
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Re: Jamaica damage

#11635 Postby TampaFl » Fri Aug 24, 2007 7:15 am

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Re: Pictures from rightside eyewall?

#11636 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Aug 24, 2007 9:56 am

Yeah, imagine if Dean hit the gulf coast(strengthening cat5) as opposed to katrina. Although Dean was weaker at peak by a little and reached its peak at landfall, and since it had been around for much longer than Katrina had, the surge could fairly close in size
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#11637 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:25 am

Andrew92 wrote:The end of a wild, wild storm. I just hope and pray that damage continues to be minimal due to hitting sparsely populated areas.

I've been holding up from doing this, but I can resist no more. Dean, :Can: yeah, you're pretty likely to get it after this season's over. Good riddance.

Godspeed be with the victims and the families of this hurricane, and may we do all we can to help clean the damage.

-Andrew92


First time in 22 months someone is going to the can...
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#11638 Postby CajunMama » Fri Aug 24, 2007 10:31 am

The 8 might have been announced on radio but all I had to do was check cnn.com or foxnews.com.

There's been 21 deaths the carribbean from dean and 4 in mexico according to cnn.
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/ ... index.html

Fox is reporting 8 dead in mexico.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,294407,00.html
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Belize-Mainland Mexico

#11639 Postby Cozumel » Fri Aug 24, 2007 11:12 am

Confirming: Unfortunately Mexican TV news have reported 9 deaths due to floods in the central parts of the Mexican Republic.

Desafortunadamente las noticias en la television mexicana han reportado 9 fallecimientos debido a las inundaciones en las partes centrales de la Republica Mexicana.
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Belize-Mainland Mexico

#11640 Postby gilbert88 » Fri Aug 24, 2007 12:03 pm

The official number of casualties so far is 8, according to the federal government.

Wikipedia has 10. Hmmm...
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