Tropical Wave Midway Between Africa and Lesser Antilles

[stormchazer]

It looks dang good for a fairly naked swirl. I would just prefer it develop as it would likely be fish. If it doesn't and gets closer to the CONSUS, there could be fun and games to play.

Then again, it may just wither away.

[kurtpage]

From the looks of the SAL...is this system "busting a hole in it???

[CrazyC83]

94L may also be busting the SAL for this system - if it stays low in latitude, it has a decent chance of development. If it moves north, it could become a SAL-buster for the next wave...

[cycloneye]

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MINIMAL AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.
$$

FORECASTER BEVEN


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2121.shtml

5:30 PM TWO.

[Derek Ortt]

how can a wave ahead of the SAL disrupt the SAL? In order for the leading wave to break up the SAL, the SAL needs to be moving from west to east, and the Caribbean and Saharan need to change locations.

The trailing wave is the one that kills any SAL outbreaks

[storms in NC]

how can a wave ahead of the SAL disrupt the SAL? In order for the leading wave to break up the SAL, the SAL needs to be moving from west to east, and the Caribbean and Saharan need to change locations.

The trailing wave is the one that kills any SAL outbreaks

Say that 3 times fast. LOL

[cycloneye]

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS NEAR 29W S OF 21N MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT WITH
A 1011 MB LOW NEAR 14N29.5W. THIS WAVE STILL APPEARS TO BE
INTO FAR ATLANTIC MONSOON CYCLONIC GYRE THAT IS OBSERVED FROM
10N-18N BETWEEN 27W-34W. CONVECTION REMAINS VERY MINIMAL WITH
ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM NW OF THE LOW.
BROKEN LOW AND MID CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE SEEN WITHIN
300 NM W OF THE WAVE.


http://www.storm2k.org/wx/modules.php?n ... ge&pid=109

8 PM TWD from TPC.

[windstorm99]

Not much to talk about with this wave as of now.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM IS MINIMAL AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[CrazyC83]

All this wave will probably do is help the wave behind it by clearing out the SAL...

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

1011mb and forecast to reach 1010mb according to latest TPC Surface Analysis. I think this one will have a shot once it approaches the Islands similar to what Invest 94L did..

[DESTRUCTION5]

Yea I think this thing will light up like a X-mas tree around 50-60 west but at a much higer latitude as our early storms..

[HURAKAN]

I expect this system to develop as it gets closer to the LA (Lesser Antilles, not Los Angeles, nor Lousiana!!!).

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W/32W S OF 21N DRIFTING W WITH A 1011
MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 14N. BROAD ELONGATED LOW/MID LEVEL
CYCLONIC ROTATION COVERING THE AREA FROM 10N-20N BETWEEN
26W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN
33W-36W.

[windstorm99]

Trying to flare-up....

[Buck]

Holding on, eh.

[windstorm99]

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

Continues to flare up!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html

[BigA]

I could definitely see this becoming a player once it moves into more favorable conditions (it is that time of year) but at this point, I can offer little more than speculation, and the comment that it's convection has waxed a bit today.

[punkyg]

Can some one point out the low on this wave oh and also look at that deep convection that has fired with this wave. i know its not alot but aleast its some strong convection.