Tropical Depression GABRIELLE:Discussions and Images

[Tom8]

Storm will go nort east from this point of view and HDW-high for sure now .
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/tropicalwx/ ... v_loop.php

[jaxfladude]

The US has been lucky so far the season , let us hope the luck holds out.....

[HURAKAN]

Latest: LLC under the convection, circulation now half-exposed

Loop: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... is_floater

[cpdaman]

RAIN spreading west on long range radar

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

lawns in north carolina must be salivating and praying.

lets see if it can make it to greenville, or as some have said if the heavy rain moves to the NE portion of the storm

[tolakram]

Well it's diurnal min and now it's looking pretty good.

It appears there is only one circulation now and it's under the convection, which is rapidly expanding.

Of course 30 minutes from now it might look terrible.

[HURAKAN]

Latest:

[ncbird]

True we could miss out on the rain Wx. But that's also assuming the front also moves as expected. Anyone want to send me a rain dance instructional video.

Was really board, so found this little rain dance instructional video.

http://nctropics.com/raindance/raindance.swf

[whereverwx]

For the first time in here life, she looks tropical.

[txwatcher91]

For the first time in here life, she looks tropical.

WOW, that is a very nice animation showing the LLC shoot under the convection. It appears that it is over or near the gulf stream. I wonder how much it might strengthen tonight...

[storms in NC]

Okay I have had it with this dry weather. A white oak just went over my bear foot. I about craped. They are bad snakes. They are small. Dear Lord PLEASE give Us rain.tonight and Sunday No more snakes. This make 3 in 24 hours. they looking for water.

[RL3AO]

Great image Calamity.

[Three Blind Mice]

Clear skies here in Wrightsville Beach. I can see clouds out over the ocean. Ploease let us get some rain!!!

[Brent]

Okay I have had it with this dry weather. A white oak just went over my bear foot. I about craped. They are bad snakes. They are small. Dear Lord PLEASE give Us rain.tonight and Sunday No more snakes. This make 3 in 24 hours. they looking for water.

No snakes here but we've been in a horrible drought all summer also, top level of the scale from the Drought Monitor folks.

[MiamiensisWx]

The relocation of the LLC probably justifies higher chances for a landfall on the easternmost Outer Banks, especially if the trend commences through the next few hours. Additionally, I would not be surprised to see some intensification as H7 (700 mbar) SE flow relaxes. The latest CIMSS 500-850 mbar steering (here) shows a "wedge" of ridging between the upper low (south of Gabrielle) and trough (NW of the TC). Some significant shear still exists, but the good inflow source and expanding convection probably indicates a sustenance of organization. This loop indicates a NNW movement, too.

[Nimbus]

Finally over the warm gulf stream with reduced shear. NHC said the shear would only stay low till tommorrow morning. Still could drop down to 980 mb or so before making the transition to non tropical.

[brunota2003]

So we got what appears to be a Tropical Cyclone getting its act together next to the Gulf Stream, and no Recon flights until 2 am? What the heck? I fear, if this deepening of the convection next to the center continues (and during D Min none the less!), that there could possibly be a nasty surprise when Recon gets there.

[ROCK]

you guys might get your 970mb storm........I guess JB knew what he was talking about after all.....

[xironman]

This one seemed like Erin, where the LLC and the convection could never get it together. Maybe that has changed.

[gotoman38]

Well - we haven't hear from this flight since the VDM at 1826Z (4 hours ago!) - but they were scheduled to be there for a little over an hour more until 00Z - I do hope they didn't have any serious problems.

FLIGHT ONE
A. 08/1800Z,09/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0407A CYCLONE
C. 08/1415Z
D. 31.0N 75.0W
E. 08/1730Z TO 09/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

[brunota2003]

Well, here is what appears to be one of the final, if not the final, visible image until morning:



I hope all is good with the one flight, hoping just communication problems.