Post-92L: Discussions & Imagery

[shortwave]

I would really love to know what made that big ball of convection suddenly race north like that. That's just bizarre.

Central Atlantic AVN

Pretty much on eastern side of that large cyclonic flow in the carribean... nothing to much more at the moment going on with that.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

thanks for explanations on dmax

[artist]

well they finally dropped this from their model page here -
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots.html

Wonder if that means we might see a 93l pop up?

[HURAKAN]

TWO 1030:

ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAVE
DIMINISHED THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME CARIBBEAN SEA...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST JUST NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

[boca]

TWO 1030:

ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAVE
DIMINISHED THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME CARIBBEAN SEA...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST JUST NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

Am I missing something how is this moving WNW. Its moving W of due north.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

[gatorcane]

watch this system...its not gone yet...

way too early to say for sure

[Patrick99]

Funny, this doesn't *look* to me like a system that should be discounted....it's maintained healthy convection all day long, and is right in the September hurricane wheelhouse. Am I missing something?

[deltadog03]

Here is the thing with this. Its maintaing its convection much better tonight. Dosn't mean its going to develop, but GFS and EURO both develop and maintain an upper anti-cyclone over the top of this now, and move it along with the wave/what ever it might become all the way to the bahamas.

[Blown Away]

TWO 1030:

ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAVE
DIMINISHED THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME CARIBBEAN SEA...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST JUST NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

Am I missing something how is this moving WNW. Its moving W of due north.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

I'm completely lost, 92L MLC was void of convection and dissipating this morning, then all of a sudden this ball of convection about 100+ miles to the south decides to move due north and is now over the dissipating MLC location. The kicker for me is the NHC says it's moving WNW when clearly the convection is moving mostly N.