Post-92L: Discussions & Imagery

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shortwave
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Re: Post-92L: Discussions & Imagery

#61 Postby shortwave » Mon Sep 10, 2007 7:59 pm

Zardoz wrote:I would really love to know what made that big ball of convection suddenly race north like that. That's just bizarre.

Central Atlantic AVN



Pretty much on eastern side of that large cyclonic flow in the carribean... nothing to much more at the moment going on with that.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html
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#62 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 10, 2007 8:03 pm

thanks for explanations on dmax 8-)
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#63 Postby artist » Mon Sep 10, 2007 8:36 pm

well they finally dropped this from their model page here -
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots.html

Wonder if that means we might see a 93l pop up?
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#64 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 10, 2007 9:31 pm

TWO 1030:

ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAVE
DIMINISHED THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME CARIBBEAN SEA...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST JUST NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
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Re:

#65 Postby boca » Mon Sep 10, 2007 9:46 pm

HURAKAN wrote:TWO 1030:

ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAVE
DIMINISHED THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME CARIBBEAN SEA...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST JUST NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


Am I missing something how is this moving WNW. Its moving W of due north.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
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Re: Post-92L: Discussions & Imagery

#66 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 10, 2007 9:48 pm

watch this system...its not gone yet...

way too early to say for sure
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Re: Post-92L: Discussions & Imagery

#67 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:03 pm

Funny, this doesn't *look* to me like a system that should be discounted....it's maintained healthy convection all day long, and is right in the September hurricane wheelhouse. Am I missing something?
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#68 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:13 pm

Here is the thing with this. Its maintaing its convection much better tonight. Dosn't mean its going to develop, but GFS and EURO both develop and maintain an upper anti-cyclone over the top of this now, and move it along with the wave/what ever it might become all the way to the bahamas.
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Re: Re:

#69 Postby Blown Away » Mon Sep 10, 2007 10:21 pm

boca wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:TWO 1030:

ALTHOUGH CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE HAVE
DIMINISHED THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME CARIBBEAN SEA...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST JUST NORTH OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH


Am I missing something how is this moving WNW. Its moving W of due north.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

I'm completely lost, 92L MLC was void of convection and dissipating this morning, then all of a sudden this ball of convection about 100+ miles to the south decides to move due north and is now over the dissipating MLC location. The kicker for me is the NHC says it's moving WNW when clearly the convection is moving mostly N.
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