Tropical Depression HUMBERTO Discussion & Images

[dwg71]

I live in Friendswood... No rain, no, wind, and somewhat sunny (with a nice rainbow).

Radar is Deceiving!!!! According to this you guys should be getting some rain.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Pasadena here, just looked out window to see patch of blue sky.

[tolakram]

[Stormcenter]

I still wouldn't take a NNW movement out of the mix yet, less likely, but not out of the question at this point.

I personally think a NNW or NW movement is not in the mix anymore.
He is either moving N,NNE, NE or even ENE. IMO

[Thunder44]

738
WHXX01 KWBC 130000
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0000 UTC THU SEP 13 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO (AL092007) 20070913 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070913 0000 070913 1200 070914 0000 070914 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 28.8N 94.8W 30.0N 94.9W 31.4N 94.1W 32.1N 93.5W
BAMD 28.8N 94.8W 30.2N 93.8W 32.3N 91.7W 34.3N 88.5W
BAMM 28.8N 94.8W 30.0N 94.3W 31.6N 92.8W 32.8N 91.2W
LBAR 28.8N 94.8W 29.7N 94.4W 31.5N 93.7W 33.6N 92.2W
SHIP 45KTS 52KTS 58KTS 59KTS
DSHP 45KTS 39KTS 31KTS 28KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070915 0000 070916 0000 070917 0000 070918 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 31.6N 93.2W 30.6N 95.8W 31.9N 98.5W 36.6N 98.5W
BAMD 36.2N 82.8W 41.9N 65.8W 51.0N 50.0W 58.5N 33.7W
BAMM 33.1N 88.7W 31.9N 84.6W 30.1N 83.4W 27.1N 85.3W
LBAR 36.2N 88.5W 43.0N 70.9W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 57KTS 40KTS 25KTS 16KTS
DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 28.8N LONCUR = 94.8W DIRCUR = 20DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 27.8N LONM12 = 95.1W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 26.8N LONM24 = 94.9W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 998MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 50NM RD34SE = 50NM RD34SW = 20NM RD34NW = 20NM

$$
NNNN

0z models still have winds at 45kt and 998mb pressure

[fasterdisaster]

58 kt SFMR - must be a squall?

Well I must say this storm sure has a lot of..."squalls."

A 53 kt one, 60 kt one, 58 kt one, all in the same mission!

[thequeenamom]

I am looking right out my back window, toward Galveston. And REALLY, no wind (except an little breeze here and there), no rain (light drizzle on and off, but not at this time), and the rainbow (well it did disappear slightly).

BUT keep in mind, it could be POURING down rain and windy in League City (3 miles away)

[RBDnhm]

Lumberton, Texas - lower level clouds moving quickly to the west. No rain.

[Stormcenter]

The illusion almost looks stalled...


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

I just got back and after being away for a few hours it
actually looks almost like an eastward shift.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Looks very well organized. Should
strengthen slightly over the warm gulf waters

[windstorm99]

[TexWx]

stormcenter...
from this link
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

i think the "eastward shift," appearance your seeing is what looks like dry air on the west side.

I could be wrong....

[dwg71]

Obvoiusly east of track...

[ROCK]

I live in Friendswood... No rain, no, wind, and somewhat sunny (with a nice rainbow).

Radar is Deceiving!!!! According to this you guys should be getting some rain.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... X&loop=yes

Pasadena here, just looked out window to see patch of blue sky.

I am in Pearland...light rain winds and sustained 16mph winds.....enjoy your blue sky while it lasts...


edit: moderate rain now.....

[HurricaneRobert]

Near Katy. Nuthin. The center seems to be very very very close to land, so I don't see how it can strengthen much.

[dwg71]

Pearland is not going to get much rain from this, less than an inch. drying is already happening in from the west.

[ROCK]

Pearland is not going to get much rain from this, less than an inch. drying is already happening in from the west.

yeah, ok I got 2 inches this am and my street flooded...but ok I will listen to you.....

[ROCK]

T#'s up to 3.5 close to 70mph???

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

How does this compare to Erin? I know this is stronger but whats your thoughts.

Also the eye is not yet closed. So its very unlikely this is more then 55 knots now. It could strengthen slowly up to landfall.

[dwg71]

Pearland is not going to get much rain from this, less than an inch. drying is already happening in from the west.

yeah, ok I got 2 inches this am and my street flooded...but ok I will listen to you.....

obviously I meant from this point on. but I hate to break it to you, but pearland wont get more than a trace (less than a quarter inch) of rain the rest of the night...

[skysummit]

Pearland is not going to get much rain from this, less than an inch. drying is already happening in from the west.

yeah, ok I got 2 inches this am and my street flooded...but ok I will listen to you.....

obviously I meant from this point on. but I hate to break it to you, but pearland wont get more than a trace of rain the rest of the night...

2" in Pearland? The most I've seen was .45" with with .8" well to your southeast.